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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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Gfs way south

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

Negative NAO develops on the euro with a few storms.

No surprise, SSTs south of here well below normal.

Gfs!

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4 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Gfs!

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That wave can easily shear and dampen out.

Models differ, but some intense cold (for March) will visit sometime next week.

6 minutes ago, tmagan said:

Models differ, but some intense cold (for March) will visit sometime next week.

Water temps are insanely cold.

17 minutes ago, tmagan said:

Models differ, but some intense cold (for March) will visit sometime next week.

Another storm

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Gefs on board

See TV projections of the 40s this weekend. Both the GFS and ECMWF keep us in the 30s through the weekend.

6Z GFS gets Central Park to near 80 in a couple of weeks.

#1

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#2

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#3

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17 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

#1

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Says something about SSTs when you have a low over Lake Huron, a SW wind, and still showing snow over NYC.

Long range 12Z HRRR brings light snow into NYC for the next system by 9Z Wednesday.

Would be remarkable for SE NJ to get another 6-8" in a few days on top of the two feet from this event.

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18 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

Would be remarkable for SE NJ to get another 6-8" in a few days on top of the two feet from this event.

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Looks right

RGEM for Wednesday

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RGEM for Thursday

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MOMMA MIA!! Lets get threw this blizzard and then we focus on Wed and then Friday.

AI GFS and GFS for Friday

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