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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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6 minutes ago, uncle w said:

it was 61 on March 5th, 1996, a few days after 5" of snow...after the warmup it snowed again...

March is known for high variability. After that March 5 day, we had record cold and a snow and ice storm, then it warmed up again and snowed two more times from late March to mid April.

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

SREF is doubling down for tomorrow

qpf_006h-mean-imp.conus.png

2 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

March is known for high variability. After that March 5 day, we had record cold and a snow and ice storm, then it warmed up again and snowed two more times from late March to mid April.

probably see that this year...highly doubt we flip to endless warmth after the cold has been aimed at us since Thanksgiving

image.png

Still plenty of time for Monday, we know how this years been

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

probably see that this year...highly doubt we flip to endless warmth after the cold has been aimed at us since Thanksgiving

I tend to agree, we'll probably flip back to cold for a while right around the Vernal Equinox.

Will it snow again? TBD.

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5 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

SREF is doubling down for tomorrow

qpf_006h-mean-imp.conus.png

Best model we have

Just now, USAwx said:

Best model we have

It's done pretty well lately, but it is going to be cancelled soon.

Another light event where there is way more EPS spread than you would expect for a 1 day forecast.

1772150400-mZunHjzw3JA.png

1772150400-iEaaXysPiPA.png

5 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

It's done pretty well lately, but it is going to be cancelled soon.

I saw that-sad.

Just now, Brian5671 said:

I saw that-sad.

They probably feel that the HREF is a redundancy.

2 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

They probably feel that the HREF is a redundancy.

That model is decent-had the narrow strip of 3 inch snows here this am nailed perfectly

3 hours ago, Andrew said:

IMG_4878.jpegHey Unc this stat is really amazing. This is really a historical winter in every way.

NYC averaged 33.8 in Dec...30.4 in Jan...adding in noaa's forecast for the last four days of Feb is 30.9 making the winter average 31.7...

1898-99...31.9...10"...16"...

1913-14...31.9...9.7"...14.5"...

1925-26...32.0...10.4"...12.0"...

1933-34...29.2...9.8"...11.2"...

1960-61...31.7...15.2"...9.9"...17.4"...

1977-78...30.3...13.6"...17.7"...

2025-26...31.7...11.4"...19.7"...

10 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Best model we have

Agreed and yet they are discontinuing it. Idiots!

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8 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

Another light event where there is way more EPS spread than you would expect for a 1 day forecast.

1772150400-mZunHjzw3JA.png

1772150400-iEaaXysPiPA.png

yo Miser, can i pick your brain? do you see a good cold trough moving into the west towards mid month? asking for a friend who is going skiing out west

eps euro and gfs seem to indicate as such

i imagine pattern flip supports?

2 minutes ago, USAwx said:

yo Miser, can i pick your brain? do you see a good cold trough moving into the west towards mid month? asking for a friend who is going skiing out west

eps euro and gfs seem to indicate as such

i imagine pattern flip supports?

Tell him to cancel if hes going to CO. Im at Winter Park and its horrendous.

The base in most areas isn't deep enough to sustain the high sun angle you get in the spring. Ive never seen this much exposed ground.

  • Author
1 minute ago, Snowlover76 said:

Tell him to cancel if hes going to CO. Im at Winter Park and its horrendous.

he's not. Utah, they got crushed last week, base looks good. need a march storm

46 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Still plenty of time for Monday, we know how this years been

Actually we should know by Friday night what will be happening on Monday - GFS coming off a big win or the Euro ??!!

Just need to find 1.5" from now until winter totally ends to get to 50".

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