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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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1 minute ago, Sundog said:

I agree. It's nice to have it on board but it's not the end all be all like it used to be.

Yea, did you notice how last storm NWS did hot bit3 and neither did any of TV Pro Mets until the EURO came in and showed a hit and then put up warnings immediately amd upped their snow totals. Amazing they had a tough time swallowing the GFS was nailing it.

Anyway, let's get back to seeing what we have coming.

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

Teens are a more realistic low for early next week in NYC

11 hours ago, FrankPizz said:

You are back in PA? When I left my house for work this morning I had 1.5" at home but it was still snowing.

@Tornadojay GPS took my off the first exit when I merged on to 87 from 287. It took me all back roads until I reached the Pearl River Pfizer. I think I saw you laying there injured, sorry, haha. Hope you are ok.

Back is a little sore but should be ok..

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This is going to be very wet period. Where was this Jan? And Feb? Much needed though

Early next week is happening. These types of storms ALWAYS come north.

It’s coming.

1 hour ago, Sundog said:

To put in perspective, Euro has single digits for NYC.

There hasn't been single digits in NYC in March since 1967 and that was a fluke year, it was the only one in the 20th century; all the other single digits lows in March are from the 1800s.

It happened five other times from 1916 - 1948.

the March 1967 single digit cold spell came 19th just after a 3" snowfall...NYC got almost 10" on the 22nd...what I remember about that cold spell was what looked like steam rising from the wet streets when the Sun was out...The spring of 67 was one of the coldest on record...NYC got as low as 10 in March 1980 and 11 in 1996...April 1982 had a benchmark low and a sub-freezing high...not to mention the only near blizzard ever for April...

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25 minutes ago, Ag3 said:

Early next week is happening. These types of storms ALWAYS come north.

It’s coming.

You nailed the blizzard

14 minutes ago, tmagan said:

It happened five other times from 1916 - 1948.

My bad I was looking at record lows per each date, most of those are from the 1800s

Point still stands though. We are not getting pre-global industrial revolution cold.

4 minutes ago, Sundog said:

My bad I was looking at record lows per each date, most of those are from the 1800s

Point still stands though. We are not getting pre-global industrial revolution cold.

Nope conditions at Washington’s winter encampments in Morristown 1777/78 will likely not occur anytime soon.

4.5” of fluff from the clipper, still snowing lightly.

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I still think Sunday wave ruins the Mondays storm. Better runs had that wave non existent. That wave drags the trough further south for monday.

3 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

I still think Sunday wave ruins the Mondays storm. Better runs had that wave non existent. That wave drags the trough further south for monday.

0Z GFS shows exactly that, much stronger Sunday clipper drives arctic shot and suppresses Mon storm well south. Maybe midweek slopfest before shot at real warm day or 2 next weekend.

13 minutes ago, Keith O said:

0Z GFS shows exactly that, much stronger Sunday clipper drives arctic shot and suppresses Mon storm well south. Maybe midweek slopfest before shot at real warm day or 2 next weekend.

Suppression in March is impressive. So much for that north trend. Totally kidding btw.

CMC South. Crushes DC grazes us. bTW DCA has just a little over 9” for the season.

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Lets see if this trends north

Euro AI north for next week

18z vs 0z

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43 minutes ago, Graupel said:

CMC South. Crushes DC grazes us. bTW DCA has just a little over 9” for the season.

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9" too much

12 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Euro AI north for next week

18z vs 0z

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699fd76e53138.png

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