1.46" of much needed rain here, barely put a dent in the snowpiles though. Grass though is now about 80-90% exposed.

53 minutes ago, Monmouth Weather said:

that chart calls for a strong el nino which will give us one big storm if we are lucky in a sea of warmth...

1 minute ago, uncle w said:

that chart calls for a strong el nino which will give us one big storm if we are lucky in a sea of warmth...

Not necessarily. A modoki strong Nino is more like 1957-58 or 2009-10.

1. 43" of much needed wetness here

Just 10% coverage now. Good to see it go it was getting nasty.

2.04 here. Much-needed rain, cleaned everything off.

5 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

Just had a thunderstorm with nickel size hail

Temperature dropped 12 degrees in 45 minutes now.

17 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Not necessarily. A modoki strong Nino is more like 1957-58 or 2009-10.

that chart has members approaching +3 and still rising...the lower end members are +1.5 and rising...the oni numbers were adjusted somehow...

Climate Prediction Center - Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI)

1982-83 looks the strongest...1957-58 adjusted up to +2.0...1974-75 is no longer a la nina...

4 minutes ago, uncle w said:

that chart has members approaching +3 and still rising...the lower end members are +1.5 and rising...the oni numbers were adjusted somehow...

Climate Prediction Center - Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI)

1982-83 looks the strongest...1957-58 adjusted up to +2.0...1974-75 is no longer a la nina...

Well anybody who predicts anything around a 3 this far out should have their head examined.

That would be like me forecasting 88 degrees 12 days from now because one GFS run showed it.

Gardnier Park near me. The ice is still solid.

down to mostly piles of snow here-some scattered coverage but the next 4-5 days will see all but the largest piles go...

8 minutes ago, Andrew said:

Gardnier Park near me. The ice is still solid.

I heard some of the lakes on the island had 10-12” of ice

Today could turn out more interesting than was forecast.

It's 34 degrees and falling and now starting to rain...

30 minutes ago, heavysnow said:

I heard some of the lakes on the island had 10-12” of ice

Whatever lake is by Boonton NJ that you can see from 287 has been iced over for months. I wonder how thick it was if anyone here lives near there.

38 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Today could turn out more interesting than was forecast.

It's 34 degrees and falling and now starting to rain...

Winter weather advisory now lol

2 hours ago, heavysnow said:

I heard some of the lakes on the island had 10-12” of ice

Islip had 19 consecutive mornings under 20 degrees which is an all-time record stretch for that.

With the warmer temperatures by this weekend, they melt things should be more rapid by next week at this time all of the snow should be gone if not sooner except for the big piles.

1 hour ago, Monmouth Weather said:

Euro AI has some snow. Euro has a big cold front. Stormy but we need the NAO to squash these.

Just now, Metfan88 said:

Euro AI has some snow. Euro has a big cold front. Stormy but we need the NAO to squash these.

Looks good to me