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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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Hit 78 here yesterday, a new daily record high. Much cooler today at 60, but still around 15 degrees above normal even after the cold front moved through.

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

61.1 with peaks of sun now cloudy. Briefly made it to 62. As for next weeks system it’s over a week away and we’re in March. I wouldn’t get too excited yet

Cpc

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Gfs on board

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_38.png

Oh boy

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I went to Queens earlier and I was shocked at how warm it got and I was actually sweating because I had a long sleeve shirt on. Still chilly where I live in Bay Shore we didn’t get out of the 50s here today but it felt nice coming home from the warmth to the still chilly air

And just in case that isn't enough LOL

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Gfs has a one week stretch of very cold temps with snow from 18-24.

15 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

And just in case that isn't enough LOL

prateptype_cat-imp.conus.png

Snowlover is 90 degrees while we snow

Just now, Sundog said:

Snowlover is 90 degrees while we snow

That would probably be 80 out here. I hit 76 today and turned on the air, but the next week has a lot of ups and downs.

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St. Paddy day special

Down to 41 with temps of 53-55 just 4-5 miles away. Gotta love the pine barrens

Overnight models- GFS sort of a yes, it's a brush, mostly OTS, but there is definitely a signal.
GGEM- YES

ECMWF- what storm?

We will see. Right now, the Canadian model REALLY likes the threat, the GFS is saying it's possible, and the ECMWF is all over the place.

6 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

Overnight models- GFS sort of a yes, it's a brush, mostly OTS, but there is definitely a signal.
GGEM- YES

ECMWF- what storm?

We will see. Right now, the Canadian model REALLY likes the threat, the GFS is saying it's possible, and the ECMWF is all over the place.

Doesn't look all that cold on the GFS at least-the true cold is locked in Cananda

6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Doesn't look all that cold on the GFS at least-the true cold is locked in Cananda

The Euro is bitter cold.

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7 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

The Euro is bitter cold.

It's been overdone on the cold a few times however-I remember it had a -7 in NYC in late Feb lol

2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

It's been overdone on the cold a few times however-I remember it had a -7 in NYC in late Feb lol

Yeah but I wasn't talking about surface temps. I'm looking at only thicknesses and upper air.

It's always had problems with surface temps, especially minimums.

It basically assumes everyone can radiate like the far interior.

8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

It's been overdone on the cold a few times however-I remember it had a -7 in NYC in late Feb lol

Yep it is usually overdone

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