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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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8 hours ago, Metfan88 said:

Very positive AO and NAO

Not good for a storm

March 1967 did not have a neg ao and we got 9" on the 22nd...its probably over but stranger things could happen...

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

5 minutes ago, uncle w said:

March 1967 did not have a neg ao and we got 9" on the 22nd...its probably over but stranger things could happen...

Wasn't the AO positive for the recent blizzard?

1 minute ago, Analog1888 said:

Wasn't the AO positive for the recent blizzard?

it was around neutral...

image.png

February 2026:

cd50.216.48.178.68.5.39.56.prcp.png

And winter 2025-2026:

cd50.216.48.178.68.5.40.15.prcp.png

Ended up being the 2nd warmest winter on record for the US as a whole.

What a torch for most of the country

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

What a torch for most of the country

Happy it wasnt us.

4 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Happy it wasnt us.

Probably next year depending the Nino

7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Probably next year depending the Nino

Maybe. No point in even thinking about it. Pretty much 100% of forecasts were awful for the east. Im pretty much done taking any long range forecast even semi serious. The groundhog is just as accurate

Just now, FrankPizz said:

Maybe. No point in even thinking about it. Pretty much 100% of forecasts were awful for the east. Im pretty much done taking any long range forecast even semi serious. The groundhog is just as accurate

There were fails this year even in the not-so-long range.

3 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Maybe. No point in even thinking about it. Pretty much 100% of forecasts were awful for the east. Im pretty much done taking any long range forecast even semi serious. The groundhog is just as accurate

Very true-the cold was not well forecast at all here

11 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

There were fails this year even in the not-so-long range.

No one predicted a cold and snowy winter for the NYC area.

Just now, Metfan88 said:

No one predicted a cold and snowy winter for the NYC area.

@THE GREAT Ben Solo and I did. I think DT did too.

As dry as it was out West, 1976-77 and 1980-81 was even worse. The snow deficits are going to be made up though over the next few days. I’m not saying it will get back to normal but it’s definitely going to bring it up to a more respectable level, which is common. March April, and even May can be snowy out there.

As for us, it still remains to be seen what the rest of March does, but it is remarkable that New York City has seen less than 1 inch I believe for March since March 2020, we definitely are in the most snowless March stretch that we’ve seen. We still have April to go through as well.

What made the blizzard of April 6, 1982 so impressive is the fact that February of March had very little snowfall and when spring came and watched 1982 there was no way that you would believe that we were going to get any type of snow let alone a blizzard. I am still shocked at what I saw that day. I was 15 years old, but yet I can remember every single detail of that storm like it just happened.

22 minutes ago, Andrew said:

As dry as it was out West, 1976-77 and 1980-81 was even worse. The snow deficits are going to be made up though over the next few days. I’m not saying it will get back to normal but it’s definitely going to bring it up to a more respectable level, which is common. March April, and even May can be snowy out there.

As for us, it still remains to be seen what the rest of March does, but it is remarkable that New York City has seen less than 1 inch I believe for March since March 2020, we definitely are in the most snowless March stretch that we’ve seen. We still have April to go through as well.

Longer range models were fairly average to warm after a brief cold intrusion next week. Problem is the AO and NAO are positive so nothing to lock in the cold, just comes and goes

On 3/6/2026 at 9:05 PM, tmagan said:

From Sunday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon, we will have 48 hours of crystal clear skies.

Right again!! Beautiful two days!

Already 60 here

Awful

Earth quack?

6 minutes ago, supermeh said:

Earth quack?

Yes

Screenshot_20260310_103306_X.jpg

3 hours ago, SnowMiser123 said:

February 2026:

cd50.216.48.178.68.5.39.56.prcp.png

And winter 2025-2026:

cd50.216.48.178.68.5.40.15.prcp.png

Ended up being the 2nd warmest winter on record for the US as a whole.

We won the "one global cool anomaly" lottery ticket.

Last time that happened was the 2014-2015 winter

Only other place that was cooler than normal was a pocket in northern NA and a pocket northern Europe.

Otherwise it was an other typical global torch

Release the aerosols

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