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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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Hopefully we get more snow

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

1/2” on the grill.

IMG_2494.jpegIMG_2489.jpeg

56 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Hopefully we get more snow

We are finished now!!

With yesterday's 0.5" of snow, we have now recorded measurable snow in each of the last 5 months from November through March. This is the 6th time that has happened in the last 23 seasons here in East Nantmeal Township. While we have recorded measurable April snow 7 times since 2004 (including last April) we have never recorded snow in 6 consecutive months. No snow in our future at least till Monday night but below normal temperatures both today and tomorrow before near normal (low 50's) highs on Sunday. We warm briefly to well above normal Monday before a strong cold front crosses the area with some potential for severe weather and another potential change to some wet snow before ending on Monday night. Unseasonably cold weather through much of next week appears likely.

image.png.c1ad1d21f8d83a6ae59e77ef4ad90fimage.thumb.png.b70f75a4bdb7d0facfa5fe52

Still snow covered 23 degrees image.jpg

NAO going negative just in time for Spring

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1 more please

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nao.gefs.sprd2.png

The lake by my house still has about 1/3 of the one section (there are 2) iced over. Incredible after this anomalous torch.

GFS looks damn cold for next 10 days at least... any warmup is very short-lived. Can we get March to be BN given the 3-day torch we just had?

22 minutes ago, amugs said:

The lake by my house still has about 1/3 of the one section (there are 2) iced over. Incredible after this anomalous torch.

Blocking showing up on the long range gfs. Maybe 1 last storm ?

16 minutes ago, Keith O said:

GFS looks damn cold for next 10 days at least... any warmup is very short-lived. Can we get March to be BN given the 3-day torch we just had?

You will need the remainder of the month to average at -4.2 in NYC in order to erase the positive temperature departure so far this month. PIT needs -8.3 for the rest of the month. Seems possible for NYC. Doubtful that happens for PIT.

6 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

You will need the remainder of the month to average at -4.2 in NYC in order to erase the positive temperature departure so far this month. PIT needs -8.3 for the rest of the month. Seems possible for NYC. Doubtful that happens for PIT.

doubt it in NYC-you'll have days like Monday with 60/50 for a split mixed in.

It’s going to be very windy tomorrow morning through early afternoon.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
1144 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
  
IAZ043-055-056-069-NEZ011-012-015>018-031>034-043>045-051>053-141645-  
/O.NEW.KOAX.WS.A.0001.260315T1200Z-260316T0600Z/  
MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-KNOX-CEDAR-THURSTON-ANTELOPE-  
PIERCE-WAYNE-MADISON-STANTON-CUMING-BURT-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON-  
SAUNDERS-DOUGLAS-SARPY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CROFTON, DUNLAP, NELIGH, ELGIN, OSMOND,  
NORFOLK, TEKAMAH, FREMONT, MISSOURI VALLEY, RANDOLPH, STANTON,  
HARTINGTON, MACY, COUNCIL BLUFFS, COLERIDGE, LOGAN, HARLAN,  
PIERCE, SCHUYLER, BELLEVUE, MAPLETON, PLAINVIEW, WOODBINE, OMAHA,  
PENDER, BLOOMFIELD, PAPILLION, LAUREL, NIOBRARA, CREIGHTON,  
WALTHILL, WAUSA, OAKLAND, LA VISTA, YUTAN, VERDIGRE, WAYNE,  
ONAWA, WISNER, WEST POINT, BLAIR, LYONS, DECATUR, ASHLAND, WAHOO,  
AND WINNEBAGO  
1144 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
  
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE   
SUNDAY NIGHT...  
  
* WHAT...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS   
  BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES POSSIBLE. WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 60   
  MPH.  
  
* WHERE...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL IOWA AND EAST   
  CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.  
  
* WHEN...FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.  
  
* IMPACTS...ROADS, AND ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES, WILL   
  LIKELY BECOME SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. VISIBILITIES MAY DROP BELOW 1/4   
  MILE DUE TO FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS ARE   
  POSSIBLE AND MAY MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS AND POTENTIALLY   
  LIFE-THREATENING.  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE   
LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.  
  
PERSONS SHOULD CONSIDER DELAYING ALL TRAVEL. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE   
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY.  
  

NBM v5.0 goes operational on April 15th.

The following model changes will be coming to NOMADS over the next few weeks. 

National Blend of Models v5.0 begins a parallel feed on March 16, and will fully replace NBMv4.3 on April 15. Service Change Notice 

Hysplit v9.0 begins a parallel feed on March 17, and will fully replace Hysplit v 8.0 on April 16  Service Change Notice

Conventional REalanysis (CORE) v1.0 will be operational and replace CDAS on March 18, Service Change Notice

Domestic Aviation Forecast System (DAFS) v1.0 will be operational on March 23 Service Change Notice

1 hour ago, Keith O said:

GFS looks damn cold for next 10 days at least... any warmup is very short-lived. Can we get March to be BN given the 3-day torch we just had?

Euro also

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40 here with strong winds.

Brrrr

1 hour ago, Graupel said:

image.png

This was actually very a very disappointing storm because after the front end foot of snow that turned to rain seemed that everybody was talking about the backlash and we could get another 8 to 12 inches and that number just kept on going down and down and down and down and in the end, all I had in Queens was a snow squall that dropped 1/10 of an inch of additional snow and then it froze. solid temperature went from 38 to 13 in about 60 minutes and cars were stuck in ice.

I wish I was in the Midwest right now for tje huge snowstorm.

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