Today should be the calm before the storm. We see temperatures close to normal today in the lower 50's before rain arrives this evening. We have a chance to actually move to above normal precipitation for the year with between 1" to 1.75" of rain possible across the area. There will be a severe weather threat tomorrow especially with a strong cold frontal passage tomorrow evening. We could see temperatures fall by over 25 degrees over just a couple hours after highs well into 60's. Rain will possibly mix with or change to some brief snow before ending by Tuesday morning. We will see well below normal temperatures both Tuesday and Wednesday before we return to slightly below normal temperatures for the rest of the work week.

38 minutes ago, Sundog said:

A temporary blip in Fairbanks' significant warming. Basically one of the lower dots on this graph.

The growing season is about 40 days longer now than it was 100 years ago in Fairbanks, which is a fccking insane change.

I didn’t post it for climate argument BS. The climate is always changing and never stagnant, so using a 100 year graph is BS. So let’s no go there.

I really posted it becuase there were several years with a strong Nino when we didn’t have one this year. PLUS how often is Alaska cold while we are cold in our area.

16 minutes ago, ChescoWeather said:

Yawn! cyclical climate change is real, constant and of course nothing to worry about! cold - warm - cold - rinse repeat!!

Bingo. Why the “client change” argument is literally so freaking dumb.

I do find it funny they changed it from “global warming” to “client change”.

@Rdd9108 @PaulTarsus

Watching for a wave along the front, similar to what the rest of the board got last week. Would be a light event before any kind of lake effect, but we may have moderate snow for a few hours near rush hour tomorrow evening.

Clipper. This was further north at 0z. Lets see if it comes south in future runs.

2 hours ago, ChescoWeather said:

Yawn! cyclical climate change is real, constant and of course nothing to worry about! cold - warm - cold - rinse repeat!!

So why didn't you say the same to Jivesnow? He's using the same records I am for him to tell us about the longest below freezing streaks.

"Yawn! Climate change is cyclical! I'm not impressed with the below freezing streak! Yawn!"

I'm basically far right according to the media/morons online but the fact that some of you can't grasp simple physics is astonishing.

It's because you think it's political.

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I'm basically far right according to the media/morons online but the fact that some of you can't grasp simple physics is astonishing.

It's because you think it's political.

I don't deny that it has warmed, but my problem is that people think that it has to be our fault, and there really isn't much way to prove that it is us.

2 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

I don't deny that it has warmed, but my problem is that people think that it has to be our fault, and there really isn't much way to prove that it is us.

It's basically all us man. It's not the Sun because the warming would occur at all level of the atmosphere. Warming is occuring only in troposphere, stratosphere is cooling. Which is exactly what happens with a more pronounced greenhouse effect.

1 hour ago, SnowMiser123 said:

@Rdd9108 @PaulTarsus

Watching for a wave along the front, similar to what the rest of the board got last week. Would be a light event before any kind of lake effect, but we may have moderate snow for a few hours near rush hour tomorrow evening.

Oh yay I get to drive home in that. Cant wait to be in Florida in a week.

1 hour ago, SnowMiser123 said:

@Rdd9108 @PaulTarsus

Watching for a wave along the front, similar to what the rest of the board got last week. Would be a light event before any kind of lake effect, but we may have moderate snow for a few hours near rush hour tomorrow evening.

You might go from severe to snow

10 minutes ago, Sundog said:

It's basically all us man. It's not the Sun because the warming would occur at all level of the atmosphere. Warming is occuring only in troposphere, stratosphere is cooling. Which is exactly what happens with a more pronounced greenhouse effect.

Nighttime warming faster than daytime as well. Not what you would expect to see if a change in incoming solar was driving the long-term warming trend.

Aifs!

The main sign that winter is ending is that we start seeing the climate change posts.

7 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

You might go from severe to snow

Just keep the moderate shit east of here. We already dealt with 66mph winds a few days ago. Might be time for me to buy a generator.

1 minute ago, Rdd9108 said:

Just keep the moderate shit east of here. We already dealt with 66mph winds a few days ago. Might be time for me to buy a generator.

Fared pretty well in the north hills & didn't lose power - but another event where well over 100k DLC customers lost power at one point.

8 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Aifs!

that would be a nice birthday present for my 77th birthday...snow never gets old, but we do...

4 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

Fared pretty well in the north hills & didn't lose power - but another event where well over 100k DLC customers lost power at one point.

Seemed like it was concentrated in 4 areas. Plum, reserve, west view, and parts of Ross

5 minutes ago, uncle w said:

that would be a nice birthday present for my 77th birthday...snow never gets old, but we do...

Models are showing blocking

14 minutes ago, Rdd9108 said:

Just keep the moderate shit east of here. We already dealt with 66mph winds a few days ago. Might be time for me to buy a generator.

My power goes out fairly often here on windy days even with underground utilities. We got a generac a couple years ago and has come in handy a few times. 2x before that the basement flooded when we lost power.