24 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Stormvista snowmaps can turn any rain event into a snowstorm

But also surface temps could be wildly off, too.

Remember November 2018, when models showed upper 30s.

One of the keys to knowing the modeled temps were too warm was the fact that models had dew points in the upper 20s.

If they're going to fail like that, it is more likely in November and April.

That seabreeze boundary is tight, I just broke into the 50s meanwhile LGA is 76 degrees just a few miles west of me.

The RGEM underestimated the sea breeze in Queens, it's 59 here and the upper 50s have pushed into West Central Queens.

But the heat is holding on well in NJ so far:

Heat lightning here

Summertime swampy midnight air here 70 : 61 AC is on.

Here we go folks. I told everyone that winter isnt over yet.

8 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Here we go folks. I told everyone that winter isnt over yet.

So today is April 1, April Fool's Day...

1 hour ago, Analog1888 said:

So today is April 1, April Fool's Day...

You are the 1st person mention April's fools.

Got to 61 last night. RGEM was 77

KDIX back up!

14 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Got to 61 last night. RGEM was 77

NWS nailed it.

7 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

NWS nailed it.

yup, forecast was 63. They originally had 61 then upped to 63. 75 now.

77 here

5 more months until the Ber months . Cant wait.

There's the twin cyclones in the west Pacific being forecast. Would be bullish for a high end El Nino event based on history if this panned out.

Impressive cold

Would target next weekend into the following week for a potentially significant warm up. Both GEFS/EPS take the MJO into a high amplitude phase 7, which combined with ENSO neutral conditions in April (close to where we are now at this point) gives you a significant east ridge.

The AIFS-ENS day 10 map looks similar to the expected pattern from ENSO neutral + April + phase 7 MJO.

2 hours ago, FrankPizz said:

Got to 61 last night. RGEM was 77

You don't say

27 minutes ago, Sundog said:

You don't say

Rgem was 92 for today, its 78

7 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Rgem was 92 for today, its 78

I think it was a good test to see how it will perform with lows during this warm season.

1 hour ago, jjvesnow said:

Impressive cold

Now do the insane warmth that hit like 2/3rds of the country.