yea, 18z ggem was better

precip probably would get to the coast

The NBM is not real.

Do yourself a favor and just ignore it

1 minute ago, Sundog said:

The NBM is not real.

Do yourself a favor and just ignore it

The current NBM looks much more likely to occur than other output I’ve seen today.

Sorry guys. I blew this one.

Most of have close to 18 inches since the period started on Jan 15, however this isn't doing what I thought

The pattern is good all Feb

So theres more opportunities waiting

My apologies for this one

7 minutes ago, TheBomber656 said:

OBX AFD noting blizzard conditions for the Outer Banks, with winds up to 60 mph along the coast.

Lucky

4 minutes ago, Sundog said:

The NBM is not real.

Do yourself a favor and just ignore it

it's the hot thing this year-all it is a literal blend of a bunch of models it's been around for awhile I think but rarely referenced until this yr

6 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Sorry guys. I blew this one.

Most of have close to 18 inches since the period started on Jan 15, however this isn't doing what I thought

The pattern is good all Feb

So theres more opportunities waiting

My apologies for this one

No need to apologize you have done a great job

6 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Sorry guys. I blew this one.

Most of have close to 18 inches since the period started on Jan 15, however this isn't doing what I thought

The pattern is good all Feb

So theres more opportunities waiting

My apologies for this one

No need to apologize - your a nice guy tho peeb

7 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Sorry guys. I blew this one.

Most of have close to 18 inches since the period started on Jan 15, however this isn't doing what I thought

The pattern is good all Feb

So theres more opportunities waiting

My apologies for this one

You didn't blow anything. ULL closed off too far S & the TPV didn't split for this to come up our way. It happens, on to the next one. We have a great snowpack with cold air around.

13 minutes ago, Sundog said:

The NBM is not real.

Do yourself a favor and just ignore it

It's the basis of NWS forecasts, so you'd better get used to it.

14 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

You didn't blow anything. ULL closed off too far S & the TPV didn't split for this to come up our way. It happens, on to the next one. We have a great snowpack with cold air around.

Plenty more chances on the way. Some will hit some will not. Potentially a busy stretch over the next several weeks.

Even with a discernable negative tilt, this thing cant get out of dodge fast enough. Weirdo storm

Feb 8 looks good on the GFS

Just now, Analog1888 said:

Feb 8 looks good on the GFS

Possibly coldest air of the season behind it, too.

4 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

Even with a discernable negative tilt, this thing cant get out of dodge fast enough. Weirdo storm

Annoying storm, wish it would just go away already or come back west lol

Gfs pretty insistent on that little event on Feb 6th other than that not much…. Hopefully stuff which I’m sure it will pops up…. Hate wasting this type of cold

lol brutal

40 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

It's the basis of NWS forecasts, so you'd better get used to it.

What kind of trash goes into this blend, where it shows me at 6 inches but literally only the GGEM out of all the models gives me snow?

Just now, Sundog said:

What kind of trash goes into this blend, where it shows me at 6 inches but literally only the GGEM out of all the models gives me snow?

I don't know, it's supposed to have a bunch of ensemble products in it.
The good thing is, they are not averse to adjustjing it, so maybe it will get improved.