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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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wtf is that low jump lol

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what is that mess in the Bahamas @48 hours could that mess up the NAM? it heads NE could the NAM try jumping the L to far east due to that....Untrained just grasping.

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4 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

wtf is that low jump lol

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Don’t forget the third one over Bermuda.

Just now, NJTom said:

what is that mess in the Bahamas @48 hours could that mess up the NAM? it heads NE could the NAM try jumping the L to far east due to that....Untrained just grasping.

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Just another one of too many vorts destructively interfering with this storm.

Just now, Graupel said:

Just another one of too many vorts destructively interfering with this storm.

thank you, it's not there @42 hours maybe something to keep eye on see how realistic it is. The entire cluster heads NE right through 84 hours

2 hours ago, Momouthweathet said:

Ben Solo am I seeing things we show 6.7?!!

Remember kuchera is hot garbage. Check your qpf then your upper levels. Then calculate.

Icon stayed the same

25 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

wtf is that low jump lol

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If you’re looking at the NAM beyond like 36 hours you might as well bang your head against the wall.

icon is hot garbage. Jumps the low centers hundreds of miles so many times makes my head spin. It can’t go north due to the confluence and can’t go east because it’s being captured so it sits and spins and consolidates until it occludes then heads ENE out to sea

21 minutes ago, NJTom said:

what is that mess in the Bahamas @48 hours could that mess up the NAM? it heads NE could the NAM try jumping the L to far east due to that....Untrained just grasping.

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You’re looking at a meso model a million hours out. Trash it.

rgem has 17 lows

I have just about lost patience with this storm. Will give iit another 24 hrs to see if there is anything noticeable improvement otherwise time to wave white flag and move on. This one has such huge upside otherwise would be done paying attention already.

Lmao… how are models

Looking more confused as we get closer

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If rgem kept going it would probably bring snow to Jersey and Long Island I think

This is still

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Lmao… how are models

Looking more confused as we get closer

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That’s actually really cool they are fujiwaring with each other. If that low center of of OBX was deeper it would spin the CCb right over us.

Just now, Graupel said:

This is still

That’s actually really cool they are fujiwaring with each other. If that low center of of OBX was deeper it would spin the CCb right over us.

Yea I def think there’s still some trending either way to do….these models are all over

Just now, nycsnow said:

Yea I def think there’s still some trending either way to do….these models are all over

Still two days until we know what these low centers will do. Rgem did get precip to the coast and likely a bit more beyond 84

Gfs looked better still a miss… but this might be the ugliest most confusing storm I’ve ever seen on these models. Makes me think they have 0 clue

Crippling DT NC snowstorms

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