6 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Very close. It then goes ENE from here.

A 979 low whats kicking that out to sea?

With that big low this weekened doesnt that set up 50 50 low up north for a redeveloper off the coast next week?

1 minute ago, Analog1888 said:

So basically, if the NBM is right, and that 33 degree day can be one degree too warm, we'll tie the record.

60-61 was 16 days below 30...29 was the warmest...I posted a list of the longest streaks since 1947 somewhere...

Just now, uncle w said:

60-61 was 16 days below 30...29 was the warmest...I posted a list of the longest streaks since 1947 somewhere...

What is the record for days below 32?

Just now, Vairel1 said:

With that big low this weekened doesnt that set up 50 50 low up north for a redeveloper off the coast next week?

It always could, but it still has to go to the right place.

Do me a favor, if you want to track the turd that was never going to be a storm, take it to our discord. I want to keep this thread clean for the cold and next weeks event.

1 hour ago, Analog1888 said:

Cape Hatteras is going to be in a blizzard warning tomorrow.

Let that sink in for a minute. I like extreme weather. Sometimes it's ok if a storm misses to witness something like that.

Send us pics.

Just now, Redo said:

Send us pics.

I am not going to be there. We have 0.6" of fresh snow where I am, I could send a pic of that lol

3 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Do me a favor, if you want to track the ***** that was never going to be a storm, take it to our discord. I want to keep this thread clean for the cold and next weeks event.

Can someone start a thread for the nor’easter!!???

Just now, Analog1888 said:

What is the record for days below 32?

max or min...

max is 16 in 60-61...

Min is 62 in 1873...recent years...

consecutive days with a min 32 or lower...

51 in 1976-77...

45 in 1969-70...

38 in 2014-15...

36 in 2006-07...

35 in 1984-85...

1 minute ago, uncle w said:

max or min...

max is 16 in 60-61...

Min is 62 in 1873...recent years...

consecutive days with a min 32 or lower...

51 in 1976-77...

45 in 1969-70...

38 in 2014-15...

36 in 2006-07...

35 in 1984-85...

I was talking about max. I don't track mins that much because they vary so much from one spot to the other.

So basically in 1961, it also stayed 29 or lower all those days.

So you're saying the tiebreaker goes to 1961. So if we get 17, we can cleanly beat it this year.

5 minutes ago, Momouthweathet said:

Can someone start a thread for the nor’easter!!???

We should have an obs thread separate from storm tracking and that can go in the obs thread.

18 minutes ago, Vairel1 said:

A 979 low whats kicking that out to sea?

You can't have a low in Canada pushing eastward on that High pressure to it's southeast and if you look at 500 maps the 50/50 low is still depicted as too far south and east (need it positioned more north and west) pressing on the northern fringes of the east coast trough which ushers the storm out to sea. Also the junk pushing in Northwest Washington state is from a low pressure area that is not sharpening our PNA Ridge orientation as ideally as you'd want. Need the ridge axis to be further west than on that map. Also despite the 979 pressure the low is a disorganized mess and that is evident by all the little lows to the north and east of that 979 pressure.

2 minutes ago, dbc said:

You can't have a low in Canada pushing eastward on that High pressure to it's southeast and if you look at 500 maps the 50/50 low is still depicted as too far south and east (need it positioned more north and west) pressing on the northern fringes of the east coast trough. Also the junk pushing in Northwest Washington state is from a low pressure area that is not sharpening our PNA Ridge orientation as ideally as you'd want. Need the ridge axis to be further west. Also despite the 979 pressure the low is a disorganized mess and that is evident by all the little lows to the north and east of that 979 pressure.

Yeah, the only way that low in Canada could work is if it sucked in the other low, but they're too far apart for that, both in timing and space.

Euro ai and gfs rock solid they’ve locked onto OTS and haven’t wavered

Just now, nycsnow said:

Euro ai and gfs rock solid they’ve locked onto OTS and haven’t wavered

Most of the models overall have been pretty consistent.

The wobbles we've seen have been basically model noise.

Gfs way OTS this run, thankfully we can put this one away and look forward to the 6-14

Light event on Wednesday for the PIT crew

@PaulTarsus @Rdd9108

ICON never showed a hit, I would stop shitting on this model

Today is the 9th day in a row where it has snowed here