7 minutes ago, Rdd9108 said:

Where does @toad strangler live. Tampa just got NAMd!

He’s in the other side port st Lucy

12 minutes ago, Rdd9108 said:

Where does @toad strangler live. Tampa just got NAMd!

Ocean effect snow. Crazy

That was a cool gfs run… lots to be excited about Feb 6-12

AIEuro has the storm

4 minutes ago, PaulTarsus said:

AIEuro has the storm

Weak

I'd like to know if there has ever been a Blizzard Warning on Hatteras, or a verified blizzard out there?

NCZ204-205-300630-
/O.EXT.KMHX.WS.A.0002.260131T2100Z-260202T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
Including the cities of Rodanthe, Ocracoke, Avon, Hatteras
Village, Frisco, and Buxton
137 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations
  between 9 and 12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 70
  mph.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island and Ocracoke Island.

* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and
  blowing snow. Travel will become impossible and life threatening.
  Strong winds could cause tree damage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare for possible blizzard conditions. Continue to monitor the
latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

&&

$$

SGK

Ensembles are mostly dry for the next 10/14 days

15 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Ensembles are mostly dry for the next 10/14 days

It might be over

6 minutes ago, USAwx said:

It might be over

You just said don't use ensembles. So now is it only use when convenient?

1 minute ago, Analog1888 said:

You just said don't use ensembles. So now is it only use when convenient?

Cant use them for 50 mile shifts

2 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Cant use them for 50 mile shifts

They're also going to probably be too dry, especially with clippers, because if some members have .00, they'll be averaged into the mean.

53 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

I'd like to know if there has ever been a Blizzard Warning on Hatteras, or a verified blizzard out there?

NCZ204-205-300630-
/O.EXT.KMHX.WS.A.0002.260131T2100Z-260202T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
Including the cities of Rodanthe, Ocracoke, Avon, Hatteras
Village, Frisco, and Buxton
137 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations
  between 9 and 12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 70
  mph.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island and Ocracoke Island.

* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and
  blowing snow. Travel will become impossible and life threatening.
  Strong winds could cause tree damage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare for possible blizzard conditions. Continue to monitor the
latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

&&

$$

SGK

the cold is the big story going forward...today was the 15th day with a max 32 or lower in NYC this season...the last time it got more than 30 was in 2013-14...1960-61 had 27...16 came consecutively...2017-18 had 21...14 consecutively...2000-01 had 20...13 consecutively...

total days max 32 or lower...

52 in 1880-81...15 consecutively...

47 in 1903-04.....5 consecutively...

45 in 1976-77.....9 consecutively...

45 in 1917-18...10 consecutively...

42 in 1977-78...10 consecutively...

some recent years...

33 in 2013-14.....7 consecutively...

31 in 2002-03...12 consecutively...

31 in 1993-94.....5 consecutively...

30 in 1995-96.....9 consecutively...

on the low end...

2 in 1952-53.......1 consecutively...

20 minutes ago, Hurricanelover2 said:

Yeah but that is the whole office. I'm talking about for that particular location.

OK I have my answer. Thanks Google AI. There was ONE and only one blizzard warning ever issued for the OBX and it was March 1980.

Really a Trace.....this is a cruel joke. What a POS set-up. Anyway let's see what Snowmegadon will bring for Feb.

Euro AI has it 18Z if not posted

1 hour ago, Analog1888 said:

I'd like to know if there has ever been a Blizzard Warning on Hatteras, or a verified blizzard out there?

NCZ204-205-300630-
/O.EXT.KMHX.WS.A.0002.260131T2100Z-260202T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
Including the cities of Rodanthe, Ocracoke, Avon, Hatteras
Village, Frisco, and Buxton
137 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations
  between 9 and 12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 70
  mph.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island and Ocracoke Island.

* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and
  blowing snow. Travel will become impossible and life threatening.
  Strong winds could cause tree damage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare for possible blizzard conditions. Continue to monitor the
latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

&&

$$

SGK

I wanna see footage of that. Should be pretty cool to see. I also wanna see snow falling in Tampa.

1 hour ago, uncle w said:

the cold is the big story going forward...today was the 15th day with a max 32 or lower in NYC this season...the last time it got more than 30 was in 2013-14...1960-61 had 27...16 came consecutively...2017-18 had 21...14 consecutively...2000-01 had 20...13 consecutively...

total days max 32 or lower...

52 in 1880-81...15 consecutively...

47 in 1903-04.....5 consecutively...

45 in 1976-77.....9 consecutively...

45 in 1917-18...10 consecutively...

42 in 1977-78...10 consecutively...

some recent years...

33 in 2013-14.....7 consecutively...

31 in 2002-03...12 consecutively...

31 in 1993-94.....5 consecutively...

30 in 1995-96.....9 consecutively...

on the low end...

2 in 1952-53.......1 consecutively...

1952 and 2011 are good analogs for each other.

27 minutes ago, amugs said:

Really a Trace.....this is a cruel joke. What a POS set-up. Anyway let's see what Snowmegadon will bring for Feb.

Euro AI has it 18Z if not posted

Really don't see how Central Park sees a snowflake, let alone half an inch of snow.

50 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

OK I have my answer. Thanks Google AI. There was ONE and only one blizzard warning ever issued for the OBX and it was March 1980.

I remember that stone well it was originally supposed to hit New York City with heavy snow but it went south and places like Chapel Hill North Carolina had almost 2 feet of snow I believe we got Bailey a dusting in New York and I think Washington DC had a couple of inches. That was a very suppressed winter the winter of 1979-80. People talk about bone dry and cold that was the winner.