44 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Latest NBM keeps NYC AOB freezing thru Feb 10!

It wouldn't copy right, but that's max and min temps for KNYC.

The bottom is day 1-7. The top is the next few days after that.

Doesnt go above 31. Can we beat 1961???

 TXN  21| 29  12| 21  10| 23  

 TXN    15   3| 19  13| 24  15| 31  17| 31  20| 31  19| 28  15| 

I know the Weeklies have a cold bias, especially in the Northeast, but for Central Park, they don't have a temperature of forty degrees until March 8th, although close to it before March 8th.

Looks like I nailed the DC to PB pattern

Models continue to hammer DC to PB each wave

24 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Models continue to hammer DC to Ben Solo each wave

AI gfs and euro ai all have something around that time frame. 10-12 keeps popping up. Only 11 days to go lol

3 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

AI gfs and euro ai all have something around that time frame. 10-12 keeps popping up. Only 11 days to go lol

6th is dead now. Ai has nothing.

12 minutes ago, USAwx said:

6th is dead now. Ai has nothing.

Its not dead

11 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Its not dead

It’s getting there. Ensembles look like mostly crap (dry).

In fact. The Next two weeks look mostly dry and of course cold.

5

29 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Its not dead

Once AI locks into something there’s no coming back as we saw this week

The GFS is good for me and south for the 4th- that may be a southern slider (hard to do that w/a clipper, but shows how extreme the pattern is).

The 6th is a nice little 2-4 event. Keep in mind clippers produce high ratios always, because of the region from where they come.

ELI may get more as it bombs OTS. Then we wait for maybe a more moisture-laden system in the 10-12.

Every drop of precip on the 6Z GFS is snow (or should I say every flake)?

And by the end of the run, everyone wins!

Just now, nycsnow said:

Once AI locks into something there’s no coming back as we saw this week

Making a declaration a week out in meteorology is one of the dumbest things anyone can do.

How long as the AI even been around?

Gfs has about 1.1 inches of liquid from now til 384… def an increase but shows no real monster storms in there atm

GEFS even less

Lot of high ratio clipper stuff which seems a lot stress free than a coastal lol

AIFS - hates us

5 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Gfs has about 1.1 inches of liquid from now til 384… def an increase but shows no real monster storms in there atm

GEFS even less

Lot of high ratio clipper stuff which seems a lot stress free than a coastal lol

Remember, bitterly cold patterns do not have to have a lot of precipitation to produce decent amounts of snow.

Normal for February is only about 2.8 to begin with- it s a dry month.

This is Feb 2015.

Back to last years horrible pattern

As soon as Ag3 showed up winter ended.

35 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Making a declaration a week out in meteorology is one of the dumbest things anyone can do.

How long as the AI even been around?

Exactly

52 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

It’s getting there. Ensembles look like mostly crap (dry).

In fact. The Next two weeks look mostly dry and of course cold.

Long range ensembles. We learned this winter how fickle the models are in the long range

15 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Back to last years horrible pattern

As soon as Ag3 showed up winter ended.

THIS!!!

17 minutes ago, Red 2.0 said:

THIS!!!

Didn’t it snow in your neck of the Long Island woods?

It looks like all stations across the area remained in the single digits above zero with Warwick Twp. our normal cold spot at 2.0 above and of note here in East Nantmeal our low this AM was 3.3 above - this is my coldest reading here since the 3.0 degrees last January 22nd. Today and tonight looks to be a couple of degrees colder than yesterday. We stay in the teens for highs both today and tomorrow before we finally crack the 20-degree mark on Sunday. We see a slight moderating trend through the middle of next week with highs possibly approaching 30 degrees by Tuesday. We could see some snow chances by next Wednesday into Wednesday night. We may turn even colder again by next weekend. The long-range models continue to think while we might get close for a couple of days....they have no days reaching the 32-degree mark through at least mid-February!