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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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A few places touched zero this morning including the icebox of Chester County the Warwick DEOS station that set an all-time record low with records back to 2012 of 10.7 degrees below zero. The old record was 9.1 below zero on January 22, 2025. Our impressive cold stretch continues through the weekend with today being our 8th straight day of sub 32 highs. This is tied for 8th longest streak since 1893. Our best chance to end the streak and get above freezing looks to be on Tuesday with the NWS forecasting a high of 30 degrees. January will end as our 4th consecutive below normal temperature month and our 9th below average month in the last 12 months dating back to December 2024. Could we be entering our next climate cooling cycle here in Chester County?? While cold most of the next week looks dry but there could be a couple chances of some snow toward midweek and again next weekend.

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Most of this comes the weekend of the 14

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27 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

GFS still very close with the fourth. If you would be happy with just an inch or two, I would keep an eye on that, especially southern posters.

Not far off at all for 4 days out

Next Sunday may be the next shot that the NYC metro has a chance to get near zero.
The GGEM has 497 thickness into NYC Saturday afternoon!

Brutal 12z runs so far unless you like cold and super dry

4 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Brutal 12z runs so far unless you like cold and super dry

my oil company loves it

1 minute ago, VIRGAMAN said:

my oil company loves it

My energy trading company does as well.

3 minutes ago, VIRGAMAN said:

my oil company loves it

How do you still have oil?

2 hours ago, uncle w said:

looking at the ao forecast I would look towards the 10th of February for a possible pattern breaking snowstorm...similar to Feb 61 and Feb 79 when milder air followed...this cold can't last for ever...

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Snowicane in 2010 is also in that category.

that looks right for our luck

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6 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

that looks right for our luck

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Please stop this winter is the best in 10 years!!

Quite a few of the models do blow up the clipper just off shore. Hopefully that one trends better. Would be under a week out so not to far away

44 minutes ago, dbc said:

Snowicane in 2010 is also in that category.

End of snow but not stormyness…

4 hours ago, Sundog said:

It's not the city this time that's the problem.

I only dropped to 9 degrees and the super cold spots in Nassau County only dropped to near zero.

They should have been well below zero like you and I should have been closer to zero instead.

I'm just guessing either clouds or wind or something messed up the temperature drop around here.

Same here in NE NJ. I only dropped to 7.5 while just about 5-7 miles west of me dropped to 0 (Caldwell) and 3 in Clifton. Pretty sure it's because it got mostly cloudy in some areas. My parents out in Vernon (northern Sussex County) were forecasted to drop to -2, but the temp hung around 13 much of the night after an early low around 6.

Not opposed to being marginally excited for a solid clipper later next Friday. 2-4 inches hopefully followed by some winds and more cold. Sign me up.

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2 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

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Coast to coast cold.

ECMWF also has a band of snow across Central and South Jersey on Wednesday.

29 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

ECMWF also has a band of snow across Central and South Jersey on Wednesday.

Just move 75 miles north

Just be patient

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