I believe we get an Archembault storm once this cold pattern comes to an end. We haven’t had one of those in a long time.

2 hours ago, BlueSkiesFading said:

Same here in NE NJ. I only dropped to 7.5 while just about 5-7 miles west of me dropped to 0 (Caldwell) and 3 in Clifton. Pretty sure it's because it got mostly cloudy in some areas. My parents out in Vernon (northern Sussex County) were forecasted to drop to -2, but the temp hung around 13 much of the night after an early low around 6.

While true last night, being outside of the city always helps 99% of the time. Tony is 15° warmer than outside uhi. -2 last night here, though -5 happened a few weeks ago

Great South Bay frozen over

pics from this morning

Little Neck Bay with ice on it:

Wow

Epic February and March ?

Gonna be some epic ice jams if we could get a cutter lol.

NAM

That would 3-6” NYC and South.

9 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Gonna be some epic ice jams if we could get a cutter lol.

broken pipes and potholes...

57 minutes ago, Hurricanelover2 said:

Great South Bay frozen over

pics from this morning

they were driving cars on the great south bay in 1977...

From my cousins near Wilmington, NC. Expecting about 8”. People are in a panic down there lol

4 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

How do you still have oil?

What?

2 hours ago, Andrew said:

I believe we get an Archembault storm once this cold pattern comes to an end. We haven’t had one of those in a long time.

Feb 1979??

2 hours ago, Andrew said:

I believe we get an Archembault storm once this cold pattern comes to an end. We haven’t had one of those in a long time.

Historical Storms Fitting the "Archambault storm"

While not all of these are named after her, they are the types of high-impact events her research classifies as having an increased probability during the -NAO/+PNA regime:

The Great Blizzard of 1888: A benchmark for East Coast crippling snow events.

The "Storm of the Century" (March 1993): A massive nor'easter that affected the entire East Coast.

The February 2004 "Greece Storm": Included in her academic case study list.

The Pi Day Blizzard (March 14, 2017): A more recent major winter event discussed in CSTAR research context.

17 minutes ago, VIRGAMAN said:

What?

How is it possible, that in 2026, someone is still heating their house with oil?
It's mind boggling.

the last 16 days has averaged 23.5 in NYC...the next 14 days look to be just as cold...2026 could make the list below...the coldest 30 days in a row was set in Feb 1934 when the average was 19.6...

ave temp  dates...since 1934...

19.6.....1/30 to 2/28 1934

20.4.....1/23 to 2/21 1936

21.5.....1/14 to 2/12 1948

21.9.....1/03 to 2/01 1977

22.2.....12/20-1/18 1980-81

22.5.....1/06 to 2/04 2004

23.5.....12/25-1/23 1993-94

23.8.....1/03 to 2/01 1945

23.9.....1/31 to 3/01 2015

24.0.....12/26-1/24 1969-70

24.2.....12/22-1/20 1970-71

The first 18 days of January averaged +10.1 here.

The last 13 days averaged -13.0.

We are going to finish +0.4

Normal January.

It’s really annoying how once the AI locks onto something they don’t budge lol I really hope they end up being wrong finally.

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

It’s really annoying how once the AI locks onto something they don’t budge lol I really hope they end up being wrong finally.

The problem with just using the AI is it hasn't been around very long and we don't know what its biases are or what it's good at, bad at, etc.

2 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

The problem with just using the AI is it hasn't been around very long and we don't know what its biases are or what it's good at, bad at, etc.

Yea for sure, eventually it’s gonna be wrong no way can it be this perfect lol.