So no snow threats on the gFS for next week or Presidents weekend.?

I do not have access to models at this time!

5 minutes ago, Momouthweathet said:

So no snow threats on the gFS for next week or Presidents weekend.?

I do not have access to models at this time!

Read this thread.

Toward the end of the GFS, a real trough forms in the west, but the parade of highs to the north may keep it from getting real warm in the east.

7 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Toward the end of the GFS, a real trough forms in the west, but the parade of highs to the north may keep it from getting real warm in the east.

Thank you!!

The GFS looks very interesting at the end of the run.

Warmth in the west continued to outpace the cold in the east in Jan

AIFS still very dry unfortunately

if it nickels and dimes its way to 30" for the season with one big storm we got, it was a good winter...not to mention the cold...

The Euro is mild for 2nd week of Feb. What would happen if there is a lack of significant confluent flow over SE Canada during that timeframe.

11 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

The Euro is very warm for 2nd week of Feb. What would happen if there is no confluent flow over SE Canada.

Bizarre. The weeklies come out, showing historic cold, and then the model run out fhe same building completely disagrees.

1 minute ago, Analog1888 said:

Bizarre. The weeklies come out, showing historic cold, and then the model run out fhe same building completely disagrees.

Saw the same thing happen in early Jan. -NAO driven cold was overdone, & models corrected much warmer as we got closer in time.

Just now, SnowMiser123 said:

Saw the same thing happen in early Jan. -NAO driven cold was overdone, & models corrected much warmer as we got closer in time.

I always prefer -EPO to -NAO. So many times -NAO either turns warm or suppressive, but -EPO is very reliable.

euro aifs is now a clipper for valentines day weekend, models continue to point to something that weekend…. models are also very dry specially euro AIFS which is 0.2 qpf for its entire run

30 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

The Euro is mild for 2nd week of Feb. What would happen if there is a lack of significant confluent flow over SE Canada during that timeframe.

Need a brief warmup

Cold winter no storms

Its been good time running out on us. Models dry

The EURO warm up is like 3 days in the east.

3 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

The EURO warm up is like 3 days in the east.

I think Aifs is maybe a day or two Followed by a Valentine’s Day clipper

And for reference, I consider warm up to be over 45 degrees at a minimum.

A day with a 42/24 is not particularly "warm"

Just now, Analog1888 said:

And for reference, I consider warm up to be over 45 degrees at a minimum.

A day with a 42/24 is not particularly "warm"

Biggest issue I think on all the models is how dry they’re getting. If it is gonna be dry I’d welcome a warmup

8 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Biggest issue I think on all the models is how dry they’re getting. If it is gonna be dry I’d welcome a warmup

We'll see, remember 0.5" is 6-8" of snow....