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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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No mention @ all from NWS? It would move through right during morning rush, too.

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If someone can post the 18z euro for Friday when it comes out. Both AI and regular if possible. Thanks

18Z ECMWF air temperatures for Central Park:

6Z Saturday (22F)

12Z Saturday (-2F)

On top of that, 40 to 50 mph wind gusts as well. Could see 'Heavy Freezing Spray' warnings for offshore areas as well.

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    • My God 1
    7 minutes ago, Graupel said:

    image.png

    Friday if you have it?

    18 minutes ago, tmagan said:

    18Z ECMWF air temperatures for Central Park:

    6Z Saturday (22F)

    12Z Saturday (-2F)

    On top of that, 40 to 50 mph wind gusts as well. Could see 'Heavy Freezing Spray' warnings for offshore areas as well.

    Eh I don't believe the Euro's cold lows anymore.

    It had me below zero on more than one day this week a few days out and I didn't even get close.

    6 minutes ago, Sundog said:

    Eh I don't believe the Euro's cold lows anymore.

    It had me below zero on more than one day this week a few days out and I didn't even get close.

    I agree, but it will be literally dangerous to be outside Saturday morning and afternoon.

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    • Like 1

    Below is the January 2026 Climate Summary for the Philly burbs of Chester County PA Area. This January finished as the 29th coldest with 134 years of climate records. This December/January is the 21st coldest start to a winter season on record. Additionally, we have received well above normal snowfall to date with almost double normal snow to date. East Nantmeal recorded the 15th greatest January snow total and the most since 2016.

    image.thumb.png.5969136a67716bec1879a075d5d69acb.pngimage.png.3abdbbb9e0a8353c0c9f377cbd388ca5.pngimage.png.ec0ba8c2565f4a108b78bea222b78c0f.png

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    Snow pack currently 22”

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    • Mind Blown 1
    On 1/31/2026 at 5:32 PM, uncle w said:

    the last 16 days has averaged 23.5 in NYC...the next 14 days look to be just as cold...2026 could make the list below...the coldest 30 days in a row was set in Dec-Jan 1917-18 when the average was 19.0...

    ave temp  dates...since 1934...

    19.0.....12/29-1/27/1917-18

    19.6.....1/30 to 2/28 1934

    20.4.....1/23 to 2/21 1936

    21.5.....1/14 to 2/12 1948

    21.9.....1/03 to 2/01 1977

    22.2.....12/20-1/18 1980-81

    22.4.....1919-20...

    22.5.....1/06 to 2/04 2004

    23.5.....12/25-1/23 1993-94

    23.8.....1/03 to 2/01 1945

    23.9.....1/31 to 3/01 2015

    24.0.....12/26-1/24 1969-70

    24.2.....12/22-1/20 1970-71

    last 17 days NYC is averaging 23.1 now...by next Sunday it will be 24 days averaging near 21.0...then we'll see after that...

    Another run another solution but models continue to show interest that weekend

    image.png

    9 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

    Another run another solution but models continue to show interest that weekend

    image.png

    the ao/nao are forecast to rise to neutral from being negative around the 14th...the pna is dropping to neutral from being pos...perfect time for a storm...

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    • Like 1
    10 minutes ago, uncle w said:

    the ao/nao are forecast to rise to neutral from being negative around the 14th...the pna is dropping to neutral from being pos...perfect time for a storm...

    Hopefully we’re on the cold side of it

    • Thanks 1
    22 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

    Hopefully we’re on the cold side of it

    it looks close to Jan 30th, 1966...3" of snow to mix and ends as 3" of snow...

    1966013018.gif

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    • Thanks 1
    49 minutes ago, uncle w said:

    the ao/nao are forecast to rise to neutral from being negative around the 14th...the pna is dropping to neutral from being pos...perfect time for a storm...

    Archambault storm

    Another little bump north from NAM image.png

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    • Like 1

    Wife in labor

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    • Like 6
    • Thumbs Up 2
    16 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

    Wife in labor

    Groundhog baby on the way.

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8411-balance-of-january-and-all-of-february-with-a-hint-of-march-storm-tracking-thread/
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