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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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Still going after 84

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    • USAwx
      USAwx

      .

    • THE GREAT PB
      THE GREAT PB

      And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

    • Metfan88
      Metfan88

      Wife in labor

    0Z GFS indicating a Saturday, pseudo, wishy-washy Norlun trough.

    16 minutes ago, tmagan said:

    0Z GFS indicating a Saturday, pseudo, wishy-washy Norlun trough.

    NAM as well

    Gfs is about to show a nice coastal for February 15.

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    1 minute ago, Metfan88 said:

    Gfs is about to show a nice coastal for February 15.

    Anthony are the temperatures marginal?

    2 minutes ago, Momouthweathet said:

    Anthony are the temperatures marginal?

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    Gfs is 40 to 60 area wide with 200mph winds.

    • Haha 3

    gfs-deterministic-ne-total_snow_kuchera-1437600.pngecmwf-aifs-all-ne-total_snow_10to1-1113600.png

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    • Pray 1

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    AI almost there

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    Euro AI continues to wanna rain next week

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    If that storm was this weekend I could see but 10 days away not even worth worrying about. Need another week before it’s even worth tracking.

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    ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-ne-snow_72hr-1070400.png

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    1 hour ago, nycsnow said:

    Euro AI continues to wanna rain next week

    Look at Ben Solo below same time frame?!!!

    HAULZ-xW0AAYBnv?format=jpg&name=medium

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    From Ben Noll

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    Several of our climate stations that did not see temperatures above freezing continue to be on track to set a record streak of days below freezing (day #12 today) which would be day #17 on Monday the 9th. The next 2 days look to be our relative mildest with highs in the upper 20's to near 30. An arctic front arrives on Friday which may kick off snow squalls and snow showers that may result in some minor accumulations by Saturday morning. Behind the front the weekend looks frigid once again. We may again have a chance to see temperatures near or above freezing by next Tuesday. In looking ahead, we can't really see any meaningful breaks from what our to date significantly colder than normal winter. Plus, snow chances look to increase toward the Valentines/Presidents day weekend.

    image.png.580af5461c035cf2894aa09d1cbbcfimage.thumb.png.c3c6b443b0fddc09a521e7cb

    There is a quick 5 to 7d warmup across the CONUS and in some places its a torch

    However how warm we get here will be probably how much the NAO and the 5050 can keep us jusy slightly AN

    Then after the 20th we revert back to this winters mean

    Screenshot_20260204_094058_Discord.jpg

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    PSA @SnowMiser123

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    12 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    There is a quick 5 to 7d warmup across the CONUS and in some places its a torch

    However how warm we get here will be probably how much the NAO and the 5050 can keep us jusy slightly AN

    Then after the 20th we revert back to this winters mean

    Screenshot_20260204_094058_Discord.jpg

    1994 had a big warm up later in February...then more snows late Feb into March...

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