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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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Next week temps seem to moderate to just below normal. After this weekend I believe we are Done with any cold that requires extreme cold watch/warnings. I will happily take 20s at night and 30s during the day with a few shots of snow. Single digit to below zero cold gets old fast after a few days. My oil bill says the same

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

39 minutes ago, heavysnow said:

Next week temps seem to moderate to just below normal. After this weekend I believe we are Done with any cold that requires extreme cold watch/warnings. I will happily take 20s at night and 30s during the day with a few shots of snow. Single digit to below zero cold gets old fast after a few days. My oil bill says the same

After the first week of February, this becomes very difficult to do. The extreme cold watch/warning used to be the wind chill watch/warning, and it was many years ago since that was issued for the NYC metro area. It is sort of like having an excessive heat watch/warning in late August, very difficult to do.

What we tracking ? Lately very little maps

15

snku_024h-imp.us_ma-1.png

10 minutes ago, Vairel1 said:

What we tracking ? Lately very little maps

Snow

1 hour ago, Vairel1 said:

What we tracking ? Lately very little maps

The clipper Friday night into Saturday is a sneaky 1-3” for LI especially eastern sections. This seems to not be getting much attention on this forum because it’s most likely going to be eastern Nassau/western Suffolk on east. I’m in central Suffolk and like where I’m at for this event to give me a fresh 1-2” which would put me just at or above 30” for the season. Going forward we have a couple of events to watch next week but for now I’m focused on Friday night into Saturday and the extreme cold Saturday night and Sunday.

Currently sitting at 10.5 degrees. I’ll easily drop into single digits tonight.

10 degrees!!

11.

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-epo-box-0336000.pngecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-wpo-box-0336000.pngecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom-1632000.png

Euro AI has been steady with the 11th… models still all over the place for next weekend which makes sense it’s 8/9 days out

4 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Euro AI has been steady with the 11th… models still all over the place for next weekend which makes sense it’s 8/9 days out

The 11th is five days out. Today is the 6th.

14 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

The 11th is five days out. Today is the 6th.

I meant for the weekend threat

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-east-snow_48hr-1243200.png

20th

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-conus-mslp_with_low_locs-1653600.png

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-conus-precip_24hr_inch-1653600.png

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-east-snow_48hr-1653600.png

15th.

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-conus-mslp_with_low_locs-1156800 (1).png

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-east-snow_48hr-1243200.png

WPO / EPO are negative by the 20th

Cold comes again

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom-1653600.png

13 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

WPO / EPO are negative by the 20th

Cold comes again

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom-1653600.png

Ben Solo what does the euro show for Wednesday; 2/11?

15 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

WPO / EPO are negative by the 20th

Cold comes again

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom-1653600.png

1 minute ago, Momouthweathet said:

Ben Solo what does the euro show for Wednesday; 2/11?

image.png

The 3 week period Jan 15 2026-Feb 4th 2026 has been one of the coldest such periods in many areas east of the Mississippi including the third coldest on record in Detroit Michigan and the third coldest in Pittsburgh(coldest since 1977 there)

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