3 hours ago, Metfan88 said:

I dont see a snowy pattern ahead for us. MJO isn't going to be favorable.

The worst might be past us soon

Would’ve been nice to add some snowpack on top of snowpack

we still have plenty of time for more snow especially in March...I think the mjo will be in a more favorable spot by mid March...ao and nao should be too...that's my opinion...TWT...

its not barely into phase 4 but heading into the circle...

17 minutes ago, uncle w said:

we still have plenty of time for more snow especially in March...I think the mjo will be in a more favorable spot by mid March...ao and nao should be too...that's my opinion...TWT...

It stopped snowing in March like 8 years ago. I have no confidence in that month anymore.

9 minutes ago, Sundog said:

It stopped snowing in March like 8 years ago. I have no confidence in that month anymore.

this is not a scientific, but we are overdue...

Ride THE GEFS? Lol

We need some Ben Solo analysis to perk us up!

If we get to 35-45 degrees and some decent rains with this ice pack/snow and frozen ground - flooding would be an issue, I’d imagine!

1 hour ago, Sundog said:

It stopped snowing in March like 8 years ago. I have no confidence in that month anymore.

March and december snows come in cycles.

Winter is not over yet

But this cold is crazy .

It wouldve been a great year for snow to pile up in nyc .

42 minutes ago, Momouthweathet said:

We need some Ben Solo analysis to perk us up!

The next / hopefully last period to watch will be Feb 20 - March 10

We need the PV to continue to traverse east of the Caribbean prairies for that period to verify

We dont want that diving into Alaska or points W otherwise we will climb out of it for good.

That's my last period that I am focused on.

17 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

March and december snows come in cycles.

March also brings sun angle problems. Don't have to worry anout that in November and December

So are we dead form next weekend snows; I know Will Ciccone still feeling positive!!

7 minutes ago, Keith P.A said:

March also brings sun angle problems. Don't have to worry anout that in November and December

Agree but if a storm is big enough it will overcome sun angle.

Yeah. The sun angle argument is so silly in my opinion. Any kind of rates overcome the sun angle. Sure a light snow that could coat the ground in January would struggle in March during the day but are we really here to talk about a light event. March is basically go big or go home.

Sun angle isn’t a problem until after March 15 around here. At that point, I think most are ready for spring to arrive.

6 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

Sun angle isn’t a problem until after March 15 around here. At that point, I think most are ready for spring to arrive.

Yeah lack of snow since that storm 3 weeks ago with the extreme cold I’m over it

15 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Yeah lack of snow since that storm 3 weeks ago with the extreme cold I’m over it

It’s only two weeks and it’s been extremely cold- mores coming in late February or March

16 hours ago, amugs said:

Been this way since the Jan storm so far Feb 1st slipped, then 6th clipper, then 11th dead except for NE, then 15th TBD now kicking it possibly to 20th. The frustration for me and I believe many is we have the cold and a +PNA with a nice block and can't get these storms. A great 500 overall pattern. It's been a tremendous cold stretch, historic no doubt and the 4th in my life, 77-78, 93-94, 14-15, now this. It is a frozen tundra outside and the scenery is magnificent. Just bliss waking up each day to this. I just wish we had a couple of these "other" storms hit. Keeping it real.

At 27.8" YTD Normal is 34" here. I believe I will make it to normal and thought I'd have it by now with the advertised patterns but one more SECS and I'm there. My call was AN snows for my area, ~40" this year. A MECS nails it.

This aligns with @danstorm post. The MJO has not cooperated from even Hovmoller forecasts when in showed a phase 8 and rolling into 1 for days. Interesting to see what and why this did not fully occur at to @uncle w post of the MJO.

Will C is still positive for a front end thump for NYC and east on the 15th ish storm and says it'll most likely be a Nina mix storm for anyone east of the Fall line and South of I80. He believes the block will do its dirty work.

Time will tell.

East Nantmeal looks like it had the coldest reading this morning with a low of 2.5 above zero. Of note Atglen DEOS, KMQS Coatesville Airport and the West Grove DEOS stations all will tie the County record for most consecutive days below freezing high days today at 16 straight days set way back in 1961! They are on track to set a new consecutive record of 17 days tomorrow. It looks like all spots will finally get above freezing on both Tuesday and Wednesday before falling back below freezing for max temps on both Thursday and Friday. The week looks pretty dry with only a slight chance of some precipitation toward Wednesday.