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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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AIF ens

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EPS

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GEFS

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

Might be the coldest morning til next winter as the cold breaks for awhile

  • Author
18 hours ago, jjvesnow said:

Wake up weenies. @USAwx

Been skiing

  • Author
9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Might be the coldest morning til next winter as the cold breaks for awhile

Brutal cold coming in march

6 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Been skiing

Where?

5 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Brutal cold coming in march

What would be considered “brutal cold” in March?

  • Author
19 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

What would be considered “brutal cold” in March?

Highs below zero likely

  • Author
20 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Where?

Holiday Mountain

Home | Holiday Mountain Ski Area

Holiday Mountain Ski area, located in Monticello, New York in the southern Catskills. Only 80 miles from New York City, just a quick trip up NY-17.

Probably last single digit low of the winter season, low this AM was 5F. Tonight will be close but probably stay in low teens. Looks like something this coming Holiday weekend but certainly could be rain or snow over to rain. Plenty of days to figure that out, in the meantime I will take a nice controlled snowmelt during the days this week with hope that roof and gutters cleared by weeks end.

1 hour ago, Keith O said:

Probably last single digit low of the winter season, low this AM was 5F. Tonight will be close but probably stay in low teens. Looks like something this coming Holiday weekend but certainly could be rain or snow over to rain. Plenty of days to figure that out, in the meantime I will take a nice controlled snowmelt during the days this week with hope that roof and gutters cleared by weeks end.

noaa has NYC at 20 a few mornings and if that happens, I could see single digits for your neck of the woods...

Today will set an all-time consecutive below freezing streak of 17 days for Chester County PA at a few stations including KMQS Airport, Atglen DEOS and West Grove DEOS. This breaks the old record of 16 days set from January 19, 1961 through February 3, 1961 at the Coatesville 1SW NWS Cooperative station. All locations should finally see temperatures break the freezing mark both tomorrow and Wednesday with highs in the 35-to-38-degree range. This is still a few degrees below our normal highs for mid-February. We turn colder again by Thursday and Friday with near or below freezing high temperatures returning. Snow/Ice or rain chances start to increase by Sunday.

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ICON is a rainer. Not that i trust its thermals at all....

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3 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

ICON is a rainer. Not that i trust its thermals at all....

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Its thermals make sense with a low over WPA and no real high to the north, but the ICON has more issues than just thermals.

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Meanwhile the GFS looks like it will slide south

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32 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

ICON is a rainer. Not that i trust its thermals at all....

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It's more than just thermals. No High pressure areas anywhere in Canada. Some confluence is there but nothing is stopping that from cutting with that setup.

2 minutes ago, dbc said:

It's more than just thermals. No High pressure areas anywhere in Canada. Some confluence is there but nothing is stopping that from cutting with that setup.

Yeah I basically said this already, but given that it's the ICON, I don't trust much of what it says to begin with.

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