That is quite a lot of spread on the 6z EPS for this weekend

1 hour ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

My call is its a miss way to our S

The AIFS isn't the least bit interested and neither am I fwiw

what would you think if there were no AI models?

Need to see if this northern stream is real. Models won't resolve this for days. Historically speaking, history tells us that models tend to start changing at 144 hours this year

8 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

what would you think if there were no AI models?

Whatever JB tells him to think.

Back to last year's dry suppressed pattern. Glad we got the 1/25 storm in but those are rare birds these days....

Here in the philly burbs of Chester County 3 stations set a new record for consecutive days below freezing at 17 days through yesterday. The old record was set way back in 1961.

11 hours ago, Graupel said:

In other news or lack of

MESSAGE DATE:  FEB 05 2026 23:04:56

KDIX IS CURRENTLY INOPERABLE AND WILL BE DOWN UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
RESTORATION TIME IS UNKNOWN.

☠️

that sucks!

13 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

that sucks!

That office has had staffing problems for a while. The mindless NWS job cuts by the gov't did not help matters either. Many offices still don't have enough radar technicians on staff.

You think it's been a cold start to February? You are correct! Here in Chester County PA with data back to 1893 this is the 3rd coldest on record as only 1905 (11.2 avg. temp) and 1905 (18.4) were colder. We finally see most spots getting above freezing today but still at least 5 degrees below normal levels. Tomorrow will be our warmest day of the work week with highs well into the 30's. We turn colder again to close out the week, and we could see some snow arrive or Sunday with a likely change to rain by Monday.

Stolen from twitter…. Sign me up for cmc para lolol

End of euro

Euro AI eps has some tucked in members but overall still south

7 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

That office has had staffing problems for a while. The mindless NWS job cuts by the gov't did not help matters either. Many offices still don't have enough radar technicians on staff.

Just realized that message was 5 days old. I read this elsewhere:

The Fort Dix radar (KDIX) remains out of service through at least today, although this will depend on how quickly replacement parts arrive. Some progress however was made yesterday.

7 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Just realized that message was 5 days old. I read this elsewhere:

The Fort Dix radar (KDIX) remains out of service through at least today, although this will depend on how quickly replacement parts arrive. Some progress however was made yesterday.

maybe the Government should charge for the use of their radar...it's a free service so you get what you pay for...

19 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

That office has had staffing problems for a while. The mindless NWS job cuts by the gov't did not help matters either. Many offices still don't have enough radar technicians on staff.

Just kick it. Usually works for my stuff.

14 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Euro AI eps has some tucked in members but overall still south

Looks well south....

we are on pace for the driest February on record...I remember Feb 1968 when it was a very cold month but had very little rain and no snow until the last day of the month...it finally had a noreaster with heavy wet snow that started as rain...

NWS PHL not buying a significant FZR threat tonight, would think a WWA would be up for the northern counties for the possibility since starts shortly after sunset. Regardless looking forward to temps in upper 40s about a week from now. Still think we got one more plowable event for a good chunk of this forum before winter is done.

ICON is such a bad model. The changes from 00z to 12z are laughable. I guess though as many have said, its a time filler until real models come out