Just now, Graupel said:

Hot damn please be real

It models can’t come close to verifying 12 hrs before start time then we shouldn’t bother looking.. that’s what is annoying there is still half models that are extreme solutions and half that are modest events except for coastal areas.

1 minute ago, BlizzardBill said:

It models can’t come close to verifying 12 hrs before start time then we shouldn’t bother looking.. that’s what is annoying there is still half models that are extreme solutions and half that are modest events except for coastal areas.

Nemo and Juno both behaved the same way being modeled. All caved to the final solution as the first flakes were flying. I suspect the same will happen tomorrow at 12z

1 minute ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Like a big brown eye mooning the rest of the globals.

Will be fascinating watching this play out next 48 hours, as always there will be winners and losers depending on where banding sets up. Ready for this to happen, enjoy whatever I get and after digging out I’ll be ready for Spring. Been a long, exciting week of tracking, 12-18 hours till showtime starts and we can watch radars instead of 15 different models. Still think 12-18” for me but RGEM/Euro give me pause with 3-8” event totals.

Lol..

18 minutes ago, Graupel said:

SE low dies and transfers off the Delmarva. More B than A.

When I think of a B I think of lows trying to cut to Ohio then redevelop off the coast. Maybe that's just me

37 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

DT all in now

Horrible map. Looks like DT thinks this will be Jan 2015. Most models have Ocean/Burlington County jackpotting, and DT has them under the 15" band. He should be disregarded, he called this storm off a few days ago.

5 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Lol..

HERPIEEES! Perhaps the only real Canadian model with meso skill

1 minute ago, FrankPizz said:

When I think of a B I think of lows trying to cut to Ohio then redevelop off the coast. Maybe that's just me

8 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Lol..

Canadian models really don't like the western edge. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.

6 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

When I think of a B I think of lows trying to cut to Ohio then redevelop off the coast. Maybe that's just me

Anything that transfers is a B.

5 minutes ago, nesussxwx said:

Canadian models really don't like the western edge. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.

They are for sure in the east camp.

20 inch mean

2 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

20 inch mean

What are your thought’s on the ongoing model disagreements still occurring seems like everything non American except for the icon and perhaps, the Ukie have a Boxing Day like cutoff to the west and just 1/2 - 3/4 LE for the coast still.

5 minutes ago, THE GREAT PB said:

20 inch mean

Looks like both OP and Ensemble cut back North and West.

Was at a fundraiser party tonight and talking with a weather geek. He said I am calling for 8-12" in NYC and NNJ. We'll lose at least 5-6 hours of snow due to the marginal temp and even overnight ae saty at 31. I said what models are you following? He said Wuro its the premiere model of choice. I said it has been horrendous with this storm.And then proceeded to use the % of snowfall by NWS for 8 inches to base this on. I said we'll Im glad your not making the forecast cause they'd have you strung up to the nearest flagpole come Monday morning.

Speaking of Ukie, I’d put it in the American western camp

GFS , NAM, Rap, SREFS , HRRR all favor a HECS the rest are a SECS to MECS.. mainly due to way sharper cutoff of heavier precip.