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Tracking Historic DC to PB BLIZZARD. No posters allowed north of NYC

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Wow talk about positive changes!!!

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Just now, USAwx said:

NAM looks like every storm since 2009/2010

***** NYC n and e and w

I don't trust precip hitting a wall there

image.png

Just now, danstorm said:

I don't trust precip hitting a wall there

Step in right direction def don’t trust precip maps yet

NAM is much better than 6z, it's like 100+ miles further north.

It's 50 miles away from nailing everyone

971 you’d think precip field bigger

image.png

Just now, nycsnow said:

971 you’d think precip field bigger

image.png

It’s out of its range!

image.png

6z had nothing north of ACY now it's up to NYC

Slow mover

sn10_acc-imp.us_ne.png

NAM has 2+ QPF just south and east of the area.

50-100 miles either way makes a huge deal.

North trends aren’t done.

1 minute ago, Metfan88 said:

Slow mover

sn10_acc-imp.us_ne.png

Same time from 6z:

Screenshot_20260220-094441.png

Central NJ went from nothing to 10 to 20 inches in one run.

NYC went from nothing to 6 to 10 inches in one run.

Just now, Sundog said:

Same time from 6z:

Screenshot_20260220-094441.png

If you take the 10 inch line, it went from Dover, Del, to NYC.

Fv3 with a huge trend north

ref1km_ptype.us_ne (4).png

One more bump like this would be huge

namconus_ref_frzn_us_fh69_trend.gif

Don't believe the NAM extreme right turn (actually turns ESE for a bit) from 66-72 hours before resuming NE track, seems "fishy"

namconus_ref_frzn_neus_fh57-84.gif

What trends do we need to get heavy snows into Nyc ? are srefs in range?

Crazy output

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