3 minutes ago, Keith O said:

Don't believe the NAM extreme right turn (actually turns ESE for a bit) from 66-72 hours before resuming NE track, seems "fishy"

It should go NNE .

Just now, Vairel1 said:

What trends do we need to get heavy snows into Nyc ? are srefs in range?

Crazy output

Less confluence

Its going to be hard for this not to come N with all of the latent heat being released

Nam not done trending obviously.. expect it to look even better by tonight’s run .. South Jersey/ Jersey shore right now look prime to get blasted. Double digit snowfall looks likely.

.

ICON looks good

ICON has rain for South Jersey. Driving so hard to post a map.

Nevermind at hour 66 it flips and has a tucked low off Delmarva 982

Much better than 6z for northern posters

ICON!!!!

32 minutes ago, danstorm said:

I don't trust precip hitting a wall there

The feature is real....confluence of dry northerly air, a tight frontal/thermal boundary, and UL subsidence.

It's just a matter of where

Nice jog again, what we want to see

It’s getting time to start taking the GFS a bit more seriously. ICON is almost an 1+ of precip for all of NJ

Tremendous improvement from 6z:

RGEM better but not fully on board yet

Just now, Sundog said:

Tremendous improvement from 6z:

Can you post total precip? 48 hours worth please