GFS GEFS FV SREF NAM ICON AIFS GFSAI all 12 to 18 or better along the coast.

Have 24 hrs to ramp. But if we dont the GFS owns everything

4 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Can you post total precip? 48 hours worth please

Picking my poison, this time around I’d rather have a more northerly track and increase the chance of rain, rather than an out to sea system. (Our only and probably last chance).

Icon much better in NW factoring kooch

Have to imagine alot of this precip output that looks wonky is a factor of the CF all the models have

a bombing capture like this is going to create a lot of CF on the models

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

Have to imagine alot of this precip output that looks wonky is a factor of the CF all the models have

a bombing capture like this is going to create a lot of CF on the models

Do you think a 970

Low would also have a better stronger precip field?

Just now, nycsnow said:

Do you think a 970

Low would also have a better stronger precip field?

i actually think this will get to 950 or below.

Just now, USAwx said:

i actually think this will get to 950 or below.

Yeah but it's probably up by the Maritimes when it gets that low, no?

Central/eastern li and coastal nj jackpot

3 minutes ago, USAwx said:

i actually think this will get to 950 or below.

I'm not kidding

Icon ens bump

9 minutes ago, heavysnow said:

Central/eastern li and coastal nj jackpot

5.5 would get me to 40, 15.5 to 50.

I’m still cautious though, I have to temper any enthusiasm. If this holds into tomorrow night, then I will be getting excited. Great great trends, though and this is how you want it closer to the storm.

with very little help from the usual indices this could come further north...2025-26 is in 21st place for total snowfall over the last 40 winters counting this one...6" would put it with the long term average which is near 28"...the top 15 over the last 40 years are over 30"...its possible that total might happen when its over...

Gfs gonna be better somehow 🤣

Small changes on the GFS so far compared to 6z through 33 hours - slightly more amped ridge out west, confluence also slightly farther northeast.