Just now, FrankPizz said:

I feel like that event was over a little quicker. This one still has a (little) bit of hope.

And setup was drastically different. There was a serious -NAO and +PNA at that point but the progressive PAC still hurt us as well as a lack of a solid true 50/50 in the NE Atlantic. There was a storm moving to the 50/50 position but never got north enough.

1 minute ago, Castellanus said:

Agreed. If one loops through the h7 RH images, you will notice that the confluence over New England is real (often pushing south at the last moment) and is keeping systems SE of the area. It’s the reason that N New England normally gets most of its snow in December and early January.

too much of a good thing this year-the cold and confluence

1 minute ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

The GFS is just a really bad model

I just dont get where all the $ went on developing that thing

Funny thing, with all the weather enthusiasts, I'm sure you could assemble an army of highly trained pro's in the programming and weather world in the USA that could produce an amazing model. We need some private company with a rich owner that is a weather dork to do it, haha.

4 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

The GFS is just a really bad model

I just dont get where all the $ went on developing that thing

I mean all of them are bad. Euro is usually good with coastals but come on , modeling this storm has been atrocious.

This will most likely be the 2nd big snowstorm we would miss out this winter due to the pacific. 

Just now, Metfan88 said:

This will most likely be the 2nd big snowstorm we would miss out this winter due to the pacific. 

PAC has been largely unfavorable since the 20-21 winter

GFS already being very aggressive at 500 mb in the Midwest. Would not be shocked to see another big run.

The GFS is even more amplified than 6z so far

Gfs should be better based off 500

4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

what? no one thinks S NJ is getting 30 inches?

No, but at what point do we give the GFS SOME credence? We're getting close in now. If the GFS still shows this tomorrow and other models move AT LEAST a bit closer, do we at least acknowledge the possibility?

Rgem has nothing. It is over

Pac has screwed us since 1996

Just now, nycsnow said:

Gfs should be better based off 500

GFS stubborn

The GFS is a bit slower this run, which should allow even more amplification, I think.

What if it’s like a broken clock at the stuck tic? Never know.

Just now, Graupel said:

What if it’s like a broken clock at the stuck tic? Never know.

What if it actually turns out to be correct!

DC crushed on the GFS. Low occludes a bit sooner compared to 6z so less snow for NYC this run

Just now, Monmouth Weather said:

What if it actually turns out to be correct!

It won’t but it’s always a what if lol

Just now, SnowMiser123 said:

DC crushed on the GFS. Low occludes a bit sooner compared to 6z so less snow for NYC this run

Which is one step away from euro. Just going the long route

Just now, SnowMiser123 said:

DC crushed on the GFS. Low occludes a bit sooner compared to 6z so less snow for NYC this run

Which is one step away from euro. Just going the long route