Nam out in an hour hopefully somebody will be up to post..

4 minutes ago, TheBomber656 said:

What a great snowfall forecast range you can get 2" or 16". You might need a broom or a snow blower. Good luck.

This is just awful. 2-16” is not a forecast. It’s throwing a dart.

Just now, Graupel said:

This is just awful. 2-16” is not a forecast. It’s throwing a dart.

Close enough. A meteorological precision forecast at its best

14 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

FWIW we had a storm out here last winter where the GFS NAM CMC and i think UKIE were all on board for a big storm. Euro had a big storm but had dry air up here eating down totals. Day of the event GFS and Co still had 12+ while the euro still had basically nothing.

We ended up with less than an inch. I know different storm different regions but its just something to keep in mind.

That storm broke me last winter. This hobby hasn't been the same for me since then.

Juno broke me. 24-36” Euro NAM dynamic duo. Ended up with 6”.

Just now, Graupel said:

Juno broke me. 24-36” Euro NAM dynamic duo. Ended up with 6”.

There were three major busts, every seven years, during that time frame.

March 5, 2001, we were predicted for a week to get "potentially feet" of snow, and wound up with 2-5" that was never even on the ground the same time.

That one hurt a lot because it was our last shot that winter and the next winter was warm and snowless.

Jan 14, 2008, was forecast to get 8-14" and ended up with light rain. That one hurt because that was a warm winter here and the only other snow we had was 4-8" from an SWFE 5 weeks later.

Then Juno in 2015. Got 4-8" and forecast to get 2-3 feet. The only thing that didn't hurt as much that time was that the pattern going forward was epic.

Just now, Graupel said:

Juno broke me. 24-36” Euro NAM dynamic duo. Ended up with 6”.

Also Nemo, euro had me at 18” got 7”.

If anything I’d give tonight’s Euro of 6” and equal chance of getting the GFS’s 30”. But in the end it will likely end up somewhere in between 12”-18”.

CMCE gorgeously west

16 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Juno broke me. 24-36” Euro NAM dynamic duo. Ended up with 6”.

12-16 here amd only getting a coating is a similar bust so I know your pain. Since that storm ive just been real bitter with this hobby.

Rap is on board. Heavily ticked and snowing heavily at end of run.

2 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

12-16 here amd only getting a coating is a similar bust so I know your pain. Since that storm ive just been real bitter with this hobby.

It’s more of an obsession rather than a hobby for me. Was just born like this

1 minute ago, Graupel said:

Rap is on board. Heavily ticked and snowing heavily at end of run.

RAP nailed yesterday here. Most of the high res models did. The globals had 1-3 most areas from here to Omaha on 80 got 6-10

4 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

RAP nailed yesterday here. Most of the high res models did. The globals had 1-3 most areas from here to Omaha on 80 got 6-10

It’s done quite well here this season as well.

Hrrrr tucked as well

Euro Is out to lunch. It will correct at 6z and 12z

Hrrr threw 48 and still ticked and ripping.

Blizzard warning for NYC 

13 to 18 inches with wind gusts up to 55mph

Warning issued here for 11-15" with gusts up to 45 MPH

2 minutes ago, TheBomber656 said:

Warning issued here for 11-15" with gusts up to 45 MPH

How is Newark and the immediate NJ coastline not under a Blizzard Warning? Does the wind hit a brick wall when it crosses borders?