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Tracking Historic DC to PB BLIZZARD. No posters allowed north of NYC

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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Just now, TheBomber656 said:

How is Newark and the immediate NJ coastline not under a Blizzard Warning? Does the wind hit a brick wall when it crosses borders?

Coastal NJ and LI def will be under a warning ..

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Just now, BlizzardBill said:

Coastal NJ and LI def will be under a warning ..

Upton issued a WSW for Newark and it's NJ forecast zone for winds up to 45 MPH

1 minute ago, TheBomber656 said:

Upton issued a WSW for Newark and it's NJ forecast zone for winds up to 45 MPH

Could get upgraded by tomorrow.

NAM certainly took a step backwards but will recover. Probably won’t see wide coverage of 20+ this run.

    • Facepalm 1
    Just now, BlizzardBill said:

    Could get upgraded by tomorrow.

    It's quite a conservative forecast even with Boston and coastal MA.

    7 minutes ago, Castellanus said:

    NAM certainly took a step backwards but will recover. Probably won’t see wide coverage of 20+ this run.

    Yep less snow

    •
    • Facepalm 1

    We have seen wonky runs inside 48 hrs before after prior runs were bombs..only to straighten out a run later. I’ll wait to 12z to see what’s what and jumping to conclusions..

    Just now, TheBomber656 said:

    ref1km_ptype.us_ne.png

    Still gonna be over a foot ..

    Nam is great

    NAM captures later. SLP actually further west at 51 hr than 00z run. Delmarva gets less with the later capture/tuck.

    •
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    Just now, Castellanus said:

    NAM captures later. SLP actually further west at 51 hr than 00z run. Delmarva gets the shaft with the later capture/tuck.

    Exactly. Overall it is better further north

    No complaints

    Metfan is a moron

    Beauty

    nam-ref1km_ptype-us_ne-2026022106-51.png

    22 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

    Blizzard warning for NYC 

    13 to 18 inches with wind gusts up to 55mph

    Mistake to go that high with those kind of totals so soon. They never learn. If Euro is not on board with that range you be more cautious. 8-12 or 6-10 would have been fine for now for the overnight update. What if the 6z NAM and GFS shift to the Euro. Could have waited until after 6z runs to make the bigger update that they already did if needed.

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8413-tracking-historic-dc-to-pb-blizzard-no-posters-allowed-north-of-nyc/
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