Just now, Brian5671 said:

You’d never know what’s coming walking out the door this morning.. feels like spring

Some of our best storms I feel like it was warm a day or 2 before

Just now, USAwx said:

sticking with area wide 6 to 12. here is why

1) piss warm antecedent air mass

2) nams are over done, we know that

3) rgem and euro just won't amp this up like we want

4) phasing hasn't worked out since 2021

That's fair. I'm thinking along the same lines too.

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

You’d never know what’s coming walking out the door this morning.. feels like spring

Yeah.

Anytime someone brings that up to me, "how could it possibly snow tomorrow if it's 60 out" my response to that is "how could it be dark out in 12 hours if it's light out now."

Things change!

Just now, SnowMiser123 said:

Yeah.

Anytime someone brings that up to me, "how could it possibly snow tomorrow if it's 60 out" my response to that is "how could it be dark out in 12 hours if it's light out now."

Things change!

it was 72 degrees here Tuesday, 57 Wednesday, and snowed Thursday, then Friday morning and this morning were 9 degrees.

Weather changes.

Just now, SnowMiser123 said:

Yeah.

Anytime someone brings that up to me, "how could it possibly snow tomorrow if it's 60 out" my response to that is "how could it be dark out in 12 hours if it's light out now."

Things change!

Was 50 the day before the blizzard of 1888..which started out as heavy rain..its the last week of February and headed for Spring..you get those storms at this time of year.

there is no arctic air with this

it isn't 1888

be very careful, this airmass sucks and isn't that dry either

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

there is no arctic air with this

it isn't 1888

be very careful, this airmass sucks and isn't that dry either

2026version of 88

I believe Nam more then Canadian although they prob meet in middle 1-2 feet area wide with 2 feet closer to coast and 1 further north & west

3 minutes ago, USAwx said:

there is no arctic air with this

it isn't 1888

be very careful, this airmass sucks and isn't that dry either

6 inches would be a massive bust but a week ago we’d all take that

2 minutes ago, USAwx said:

there is no arctic air with this

it isn't 1888

be very careful, this airmass sucks and isn't that dry either

To me it looks OK but sfc temps are rather borderline

3 minutes ago, USAwx said:

there is no arctic air with this

it isn't 1888

be very careful, this airmass sucks and isn't that dry either

You’re seeing ghosts man

Where is everyone? GFS is rolling.

The convection chasing you’re seeing on some modeling should not be discounted. A friend of mine helped to point out the SSTs off the coast, and you can see there’s 3 distinct warm pools that the SLP could gravitate toward as that’s where the convection will tend to flare up most. The Americans aren’t “chasing” these warm pools. The others are. Would be lovely to see the EURO cut off the mid levels earlier to mitigate some of this noise. Extremely tough forecast…

1984 a month earlier...that storm had an eye...10-15 hopefully this time...

1 minute ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

To me it looks OK but sfc temps are rather borderline

We've had major snowstorms with sfc temps at 33 and 34..has to come down hard though

Once low cranks and bombs out temps will drop into 20’s

Euro is going to fully cave at 12z or 0z. Lock

Snow breeds more snow

I can't believe a bunch of you wasted your time entertaining Joshua's "no cold air" bullshit