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Tracking Historic DC to PB BLIZZARD. No posters allowed north of NYC

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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the 10:1 maps are snowier than Kuchera. Be careful with that

Kuchera is likely seeing the dendrites being more shredded and poor ratios to start

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Based off the GFS's performance with last month's storm, I'd weigh it very heavily.

sn10_acc-imp.us_ne.png

That time when 10:1 maps have more than kuchera 🤣

    • Haha 1

    image.png

    Just now, CT Valley Dryslot said:

    Based off the GFS's performance with last month's storm, I'd weigh it very heavily.

    Nam also was first to lock in on the sleet component ..

    is this a good comparison of what we could expect?

    19600302-19600305-8.77.jpg

    Nobody should whine they're not getting 20 inches.

    Back when AG3 willed this storm back into play several days ago when most major models were giving us zero everyone would be overjoyed for just a few inches.

    • Like 2
    1 minute ago, Hurricanelover2 said:

    is this a good comparison of what we could expect?

    19600302-19600305-8.77.jpg

    February 2013 only more expensive.

    19 minutes ago, danstorm said:

    You’re seeing ghosts man

    Yup agree. Majority of snow falls after dark and I believe temps are a bit overdone

    1 minute ago, Sundog said:

    Nobody should whine they're not getting 20 inches.

    Back when AG3 willed this storm back into play several days ago when most major models were giving us zero everyone would be overjoyed for just a few inches.

    10-20 with localized 2 feet is a pretty good call for most the area

    • Like 1
    5 minutes ago, USAwx said:

    the 10:1 maps are snowier than Kuchera. Be careful with that

    Kuchera is likely seeing the dendrites being more shredded and poor ratios to start

    The dendritic snow growth region temps around NYC are already at -15C right off the bat on the NAM.

    On the GFS they're at -13C, snow growth will be fine.

    • Like 2
    8 minutes ago, BlizzardBill said:

    Nam also was first to lock in on the sleet component ..

    Yeah but that's basically all the NAM can do. We're not concerned with sleet in this storm.

    People seem to be really riding the euro and that’s why they’re keeping totals a bit lower. Thoughts?

    Canadian did shift west a little, def good it didn’t go east

    image.gif

    •
    • Like 1

    I thin 10-12 is a good call for nyc 12-18 li and coastal nj isolated higher and lower amounts

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8413-tracking-historic-dc-to-pb-blizzard-no-posters-allowed-north-of-nyc/
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