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Tracking Historic DC to PB BLIZZARD. No posters allowed north of NYC

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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CMC is amazing. I m not worried about Sexy Frank’s warm pool voodoo. Storms often tuck then head due east after major dump age.

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    • Haha 1

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    17 minutes ago, USAwx said:

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    sharp NW cutoff that's where the biggest bust potential lies

    Rap is bombing out

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    1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

    sharp NW cutoff that's where the biggest bust potential lies

    Yeah could see a few inches and 30 mikes east sees over a foot

    2 minutes ago, Graupel said:

    CMC is amazing. I m not worried about Sexy Frank’s warm pool voodoo. Storms often tuck then head due east after major dump age.

    Hot frank is back?

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    • Thumbs Up 1
    7 minutes ago, heavysnow said:

    People seem to be really riding the euro and that’s why they’re keeping totals a bit lower. Thoughts?

    NAM gfs are smoking meth. Need a foreign model to show 25-35” to have any real support. 10-20” areawide is realistic

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    1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

    Rap is bombing out

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    My favorite model

    Gorgeous

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    Just now, Graupel said:

    My favorite model

    Did great in the January storm with the totals and sleet was one of the first models to show sleet line putting up a fight at north shore

    3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

    The dendritic snow growth region temps around NYC are already at -15C right off the bat on the NAM.

    On the GFS they're at -13C, snow growth will be fine.

    Snow growth will be fine. We'll get to 13-15:1 at some point in the heaviest bands.

    But there are two things to worry about.

    First, you'll likely start out 6:1 or so with warm temps. Then if there are strong winds, ratios may go down to 8:1 at times.

    So I think the 10:1 maps will work out well, ASSUMING models are correct with QPF, of course.

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    • Like 1
    Just now, nycsnow said:

    Did great in the January storm with the totals and sleet

    And both December storms as well.

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    sn10_acc-imp.us_ne.png

    Legit stalls south of li

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    @dbc do you know how much snow we had already this season ?

    RAP!!!!

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    3 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

    Did great in the January storm with the totals and sleet was one of the first models to show sleet line putting up a fight at north shore

    Nailed Thursday out here. Only model too

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8413-tracking-historic-dc-to-pb-blizzard-no-posters-allowed-north-of-nyc/
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