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Tracking Historic DC to PB BLIZZARD. No posters allowed north of NYC

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10 1 won't work here with snow at 37 degrees at least for 3 hours

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4 minutes ago, dbc said:

@jsantabanyc

I last saw it at 15.1 but they only got 10 inches in the January storm. We legit got 12-14 and maybe a little more from lighter snows that areas south of us wouldn't have got. Maybe like .9 more.

I think we are probably a bit better than that Newark number. Maybe 18 to 20 thus far. If you want to be more conservative go with the 18, hope for 12 at worst with this next storm which then gets us just above normal for winter by Monday night/Tuesday.

Oh wow 🤣 I actually thought we had more snow than that for some reason

3 minutes ago, dbc said:

@jsantabanyc

I last saw it at 15.1 but they only got 10 inches in the January storm. We legit got 12-14 and maybe a little more from lighter snows that areas south of us wouldn't have got. Maybe like .9 more.

I think we are probably a bit better than that Newark number. Maybe 18 to 20 thus far. If you want to be more conservative go with the 18, hope for 12 at worst with this next storm which then gets us just above normal for winter by Monday night/Tuesday.

18-20 total for season?

Gotta be more than that - I’m at 30.5

Just now, danstorm said:

18-20 total for season?

Gotta be more than that - I’m at 30.5

That’s what I thought 🤣 18-20 seems low

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Biggest euro and euro AI since metfan came out

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

10 1 won't work here with snow at 37 degrees at least for 3 hours

It isn't going to snow at 37 degrees for three hours.

Just now, danstorm said:

18-20 total for season?

Gotta be more than that - I’m at 30.5

Even EWR is at 26

Just now, danstorm said:

EWR definitely had 12 in Jan storm

@jsantabanyc @danstorm

Alright. Guess I am off a bit. If you count the 2 December events as say 4 a piece for our area plus the 12 in January and some nickel and dime events if we think 14 for Jan storm is too high we're right there around 20 on the season. At most 22 if you want to be more aggressive. Get us 10-12 with this next one we are over 30 and above normal. 08-09 style winter near 35 inch mark by late Feb (got there a bit differently than 08-09) and darn cold majority of the time.

Now temp 42- dew 26

Just now, dbc said:

@jsantabanyc @danstorm

Alright. Guess I am off a bit. If you count the 2 December events as say 4 a piece for our area plus the 12 in January and some nickel and dime events if we think 14 is too high we're right there around 20 on the season. At most 22 if you want to be more aggressive. Get us 10-12 with this next one we are over 30 and above normal. 08-09 style winter near 35 inch mark by late Feb (got there a bit differently than 08-09) and darn cold majority of the time.

You had nothing in the two weekend January events prior to the biggie? We had 5-6 (I was away but reporting from the wifey)

Also a 2”er right before xmas

From a poster:

I can tell you that upstream here in Arkansas, we had some convective cells overnight that weren't necessarily modeled and some of that was sleet/thundersleet, associated with that shortwave moving over the southern plains. If that helps.

Dan straight it does. Its all about the latent heat release. Huge IMO.

4 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

It isn't going to snow at 37 degrees for three hours.

He's just rage baiting

5 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Even EWR is at 26

26 wow ok. I guess I saw a lower report than what you have.

Go with 26 thus far maybe 28 here in Cliffside Park. Sounds reasonable. @jsantabanyc @danstorm

GEFS AND 15Z RAP

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I gave you all this period

Snowstorm

Coldest 30 days in 25 yrs

Snowcover

Now a Blizzard

And no thanked me

1 minute ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

I gave you all this period

Snowstorm

Coldest 30 days in 25 yrs

Snowcover

Now a Blizzard

And no thanked me

Thank you! (send the money to my venmo)

Just now, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

I gave you all this period

Snowstorm

Coldest 30 days in 25 yrs

Snowcover

Now a Blizzard

And no thanked me

@THE GREAT Ben Solo

Been with you the whole way and thanks for all you did for the board this winter. Was a valuable learning experience for me and hopefully for all.

7 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

I gave you all this period

Snowstorm

Coldest 30 days in 25 yrs

Snowcover

Now a Blizzard

And no thanked me

I did last week/ but are we finished?

16 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

I gave you all this period

Snowstorm

Coldest 30 days in 25 yrs

Snowcover

Now a Blizzard

And no thanked me

Winter moves to an A+ if it verifies

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