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Tracking Historic DC to PB BLIZZARD Part Deux- Last minute model mayhem, observations, and weenie hallucinations

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Raining here

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  • danstorm
    danstorm

    I will never not be jittery until heavy snow is falling on my yard

  • danstorm
    danstorm

    Oh my god stop with the negativity we don’t live in Allentown

  • Frank_Wx
    Frank_Wx

    The SLP is jumping around all the over the place in the first 5 frames of the GFS. Does not look right at all.

Below freezing temps are just northeast of the city (in terms of wind trajectory)

I'm not concerned about this early light rain, it was part of the plan

  • Author
Just now, Sundog said:

Below freezing temps are just northeast of the city (in terms of wind trajectory)

I'm not concerned about this early light rain, it was part of the plan

wazup dog.

4 minutes ago, Keith O said:

32 and light/moderate snow has begun, starting to coat deck. Woke up to my first ever blizzard warning in Sussex Cty. 18-25” the official NWS forecast. Lets ride!!! Go USA

I really find it so hard to believe that 18-25 in NW areas, but here’s to hoping they are right!

  • Author

really nice snow growth in this initial stuff. Shows you that 700mb layer is already saturated.

Light snow and immediate stickage.

  • Author
2 minutes ago, supermeh said:

Light snow and immediate stickage.

what are your thoughts on final totals? you've been quiet.

Snow lga

  • Author

BIGGEST 12Z HRRR RUN SINCE FEBRUARY 1983

very stormy, already windy

4 minutes ago, USAwx said:

what are your thoughts on final totals? you've been quiet.

I’m going 12-15” in and around nyc.

  • Author

The models consensus is 1.25 ish area wide.

This will not be a HECS and NWS is gonna look really bad for their obscene calls of 2 to 3 feet.

Regardless it will be a much needed cherry on this cold winter.

  • Author
Just now, supermeh said:

I’m going 12-15” in and around nyc.

This is the right call

2 minutes ago, USAwx said:

This is the right call

Still an awesome storm.

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