The driest 3 month . I have a witnessed was between August 20.-Nov 20th 2024. I believe I didn’t even have an inch of rain over that. And I couldn’t believe how dry everything was. I thought they were going to be fires. It was so dry in some areas there were. That was a wicked short-term drought.

There is a chance I could die in a flash flood, but I will never drown when we’re in a severe drought, unless I somehow fall at first into the toilet and I’m knocked unconscious😂

I agree with Frank as much as I don’t like route it’s less destructive than flooding. A drought’s not gonna cause hundreds of millions or even billions in damage and there are also many ways to remedy a lack of water.

When you are in the subway tunnel and there is a storm, let’s say 6 inches of rain per hour in Manhattan and the tunnels are filling up a water. There is no short-term remedy except getting the hell out of there.

14 minutes ago, Andrew said:

I agree with Frank as much as I don’t like route it’s less destructive than flooding. A drought’s not gonna cause hundreds of millions or even billions in damage and there are also many ways to remedy a lack of water.

When you are in the subway tunnel and there is a storm, let’s say 6 inches of rain per hour in Manhattan and the tunnels are filling up a water. There is no short-term remedy except getting the hell out of there.

Yea but a drought is death by 1000 cuts like uncle W said. Floods are pretty easy to avoid,just dont live in a floodplain

28 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

Yea but a drought is death by 1000 cuts like uncle W said. Floods are pretty easy to avoid,just dont live in a floodplain

You need a El Niño winter like 1982-83 to alleviate the drought in the west, but actually the drought was alleviated out there just a few years ago and now it’s dry again but then again when you look at it over a 10 or 20 period that’s normal.

Your area of Nebraska is not going to have 40 to 50 inches of rain like we do here. I believe your average is somewhere in the upper 20s.. I know it’s been dry as hell. One of these days it will switch. It doesn’t last forever. But over here in Long Island the trout is going on for almost 2 years and even then it’s not anything like they’re really dry years were

I believe by December 1965 some of the bigger reservoirs in upstate New York were below 20% of capacity and the Delaware and the Susquehanna river were completely dry. That was a big-time drought and it took a long time to come back from.

3 minutes ago, Andrew said:

You need a El Niño winter like 1982-83 to alleviate the drought in the west, but actually the drought was alleviated out there just a few years ago and now it’s dry again but then again when you look at it over a 10 or 20 period that’s normal.

Your area of Nebraska is not going to have 40 to 50 inches of rain like we do here. I believe your average is somewhere in the upper 20s.. I know it’s been dry as hell. One of these days it will switch. It doesn’t last forever. But over here in Long Island the trout is going on for almost 2 years and even then it’s not anything like they’re really dry years were

Yea thats why most of the lakes are running dry and we have been getting worse wildfires outside of early spring. Yup this is totally normal and the fact a massive portion of the plains os still in a persistent 5 year drought is totally normal.

Theres a reason the cattle count is at its lowest level since the 50s. But yea totally normal.

Completely normal. Been 5 years of this fucken shit

We've improved here but the next month looks pretty dry so we will be back in D2/D3 yet again. Been this way for 5 years. We get ahead a little then get smacked back. The the fall into winter is dryer than normal and it repeats.

3 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

Completely normal. Been 5 years of this fucken shit

The atmosphere has been in a consistent NINA state and I’m not sold that it’s going to change this winter even if the El Niño turns out to be super. It has to couple atmospherically and the verdict is still out with that.

1 hour ago, Snowlover76 said:

Yea but a drought is death by 1000 cuts like uncle W said. Floods are pretty easy to avoid,just dont live in a floodplain

The way they are building around here, places flood that never did. I know too many people now that lost a lot due to floods. Hell, even Joshua's newer mansion had water issues.

1 minute ago, FrankPizz said:

The way they are building around here, places flood that never did.

My area has zero records of massive flooding going back to the 1920s when they started building here until 2021 with Ida. Then it happened again in 2022. Then it happened again in 2025.

Maybe you're also getting more catastrophic downpours compounding the problem?

55 minutes ago, Sundog said:

My area has zero records of massive flooding going back to the 1920s when they started building here until 2021 with Ida. Then it happened again in 2022. Then it happened again in 2025.

Maybe you're also getting more catastrophic downpours compounding the problem?

I believe a part of the problem. A big part of the problem is the fact that there have been a lot of major sewer reconstruction projects that not only have they not worked, but they have made the flooding worse.

There is this place where I used to live in Queens not far from me the Cooper Avenue underpass it went underneath some railroad tracks going towards Central Avenue in Queens and the other way going toward Woodhaven Boulevard. There was always flooding in that underpass, but it was always 23 maybe 3 feet maybe a bad flood 4 feet high. They did a major reconstruction project a while back and they put a new sewer which was supposed to handle twice the amount of water than the previous sewer system did.

IDA I bought water almost 12 feet high, almost to the top the bottom of the bridge the ceiling of the bridge. But they’ve had other subsequent floods since then that I’ve also been tremendous that they never had before with water 567 even 8 feet high.

I agree that Hayat dewpoints have given us a heavier rainfall. I’ve seen that happen many times and we are getting some rainfall rates in short periods of time of 10 to 15 inches/ hour. And all the 6 to 7 in./h some cases. But there was also the pot with the construction engineering has done a terrible job. I don’t know what it is. I don’t know what they are doing wrong, but it hasn’t worked and it’s in a lot of places.

4 hours ago, Andrew said:

You need a El Niño winter like 1982-83 to alleviate the drought in the west, but actually the drought was alleviated out there just a few years ago and now it’s dry again but then again when you look at it over a 10 or 20 period that’s normal.

Your area of Nebraska is not going to have 40 to 50 inches of rain like we do here. I believe your average is somewhere in the upper 20s.. I know it’s been dry as hell. One of these days it will switch. It doesn’t last forever. But over here in Long Island the trout is going on for almost 2 years and even then it’s not anything like they’re really dry years were

March April 1983 were very wet...Dec 82 was dry...1977-78 was very wet in January along with Nov 77...

precipitation from Nov to March during most el nino years...red was below average...eight were well above normal...five slightly above normal...three below normal...

season......Nov.......Dec.......Jan.......Feb.......Mar.....total...

1957-58...04.46...05.26...03.79...02.98...03.19...19.68"...

1963-64...08.24...02.31...04.62...02.93...02.57...20.67"...

1965-66...01.46...01.72...02.63...04.96...00.94...11.71"...

1972-73...12.41...06.09...04.53...04.55...03.60...31.18"...

1977-78...12.26...05.06...08.27...01.59...02.73...29.91"...

1982-83...03.44...01.47...05.01...03.22...10.54...23.68"...

1986-87...06.85...06.16...05.81...01.01...04.93...24.76"...

1991-92...01.96...04.26...01.68...01.87...04.08...13.85"...

1997-98...04.68...04.27...05.20...05.81...05.08...25.04"...

2002-03...05.06...04.06...02.30...04.56...04.57...20.55"...

2004-05...04.21...03.71...04.67...03.04...04.96...20.59"...

2006-07...07.34...02.15...03.63...01.99...05.35...20.46"...

2009-10...01.61...07.27...02.08...06.69...10.69...28.34"...

2015-16...02.01...04.72...04.41...04.40...01.67...16.71"...

2018-19...07.62...06.51...03.58...03.14...03.87...24.72"...

2023-24...02.95...06.71...05.28...02.05...09.06...26.05"...

normal.....03.58...04.38...03.64...03.19...04.29...19.08"...

13 hours ago, uncle w said:

precipitation from Nov to March during most el nino years...red was below average...eight were well above normal...five slightly above normal...three below normal...

season......Nov.......Dec.......Jan.......Feb.......Mar.....total...

1957-58...04.46...05.26...03.79...02.98...03.19...19.68"...

1963-64...08.24...02.31...04.62...02.93...02.57...20.67"...

1965-66...01.46...01.72...02.63...04.96...00.94...11.71"...

1972-73...12.41...06.09...04.53...04.55...03.60...31.18"...

1977-78...12.26...05.06...08.27...01.59...02.73...29.91"...

1982-83...03.44...01.47...05.01...03.22...10.54...23.68"...

1986-87...06.85...06.16...05.81...01.01...04.93...24.76"...

1991-92...01.96...04.26...01.68...01.87...04.08...13.85"...

1997-98...04.68...04.27...05.20...05.81...05.08...25.04"...

2002-03...05.06...04.06...02.30...04.56...04.57...20.55"...

2004-05...04.21...03.71...04.67...03.04...04.96...20.59"...

2006-07...07.34...02.15...03.63...01.99...05.35...20.46"...

2009-10...01.61...07.27...02.08...06.69...10.69...28.34"...

2015-16...02.01...04.72...04.41...04.40...01.67...16.71"...

2018-19...07.62...06.51...03.58...03.14...03.87...24.72"...

2023-24...02.95...06.71...05.28...02.05...09.06...26.05"...

normal.....03.58...04.38...03.64...03.19...04.29...19.08"...

Rain chances increase again later this afternoon with the best chances between 3pm to 8pm. A couple beautiful days on tap both Sunday and Monday with temperatures slightly cooler than average for mid-July. We start a solid warm up on Tuesday and may see widespread 90+ temps for one day on Wednesday. Still hot but "only" in the upper 80's both Thursday and Friday.

NWNJ getting shaft once again as all the action is S&E for the 5x this week. Haven’t seen rain since Jul 3 event.

A great couple of days ahead with temperatures running slightly cooler than average for the dates before a warmup gets underway on Tuesday. Some of our cooler valley spots may see low temperatures in the 50's by tomorrow morning. Our hottest day and best chance for widespread 90's across the County will be Wednesday. We cool a couple of degrees from there to close out the work week. Not much chance of any showers through at least Friday.