4 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Tors

Bust, all north

4 hours ago, Sundog said:

Models don't look that enthused.

Only the 3k NAM has anything significant (and it shifted decently east compared to 6z) so I'm not sure how reliable it is.

Even the lethal HREF ensembles overdid it.

We got a hook echo!!!

Bust, 0.11"

46 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Bust, 0.11"

The nbm gave you .07. What exactly were you expecting?

23 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

The nbm gave you .07. What exactly were you expecting?

Flooding rains of death and destruction

2 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

The nbm gave you .07. What exactly were you expecting?

My forecast of .25-.50" i guess is too much to ask for? Nbm is horrible 99% of the time. If it was anywhere close to accurate, I would have had 150" of snow this year. Also not one thunderstorm was around like what was in the forecast. Sorry, thats a bust. Next

4 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

My forecast of .25-.50" i guess is too much to ask for? Nbm is horrible 99% of the time. If it was anywhere close to accurate, I would have had 150" of snow this year. Also not one thunderstorm was around like what was in the forecast. Sorry, thats a bust. Next

Nbm had a 12 percent chance of thunderstorms. A new version just came out 3 days ago. Maybe if you used that, you would not have expected something unrealistic.

Pretty cool so far in May. Hopefully second half brings the warmth.

22 hours ago, Sundog said:

Haha.

Let me tell you something you obviously don't know. Your warm records all came when the eastern United States had lost over half of its trees.

Pennsylvania was down to 30% forest coverage in the first few decades of the 20th century.

Now it's up to 60%. Similar story across the east. Farming was abandoned for the Midwest.

And that's why a decent chunk of the eastern United States are warming at the slowest rate compared to other places.

I do like me some good fiction.....

Happy Mother's Day to all of the moms out there! We should see a great weather day for all of you with highs in the mid 70's. There could be some showers developing late in the afternoon and into the evening. Back to cooler than normal temperatures the rest of the upcoming work week before we warm up by next weekend. Our best rain chances after later today will be Wednesday into Thursday.

6 minutes ago, ChescoWeather said:

I do like me some good fiction.....

What part is fiction?

That the 1930s when you recorded those high temp records in PA your state had only 30% tree coverage due to clear cutting and farming when it's now up to 60% and had been growing over the last several decades?

That's the part that's fiction?

11 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

Nbm had a 12 percent chance of thunderstorms. A new version just came out 3 days ago. Maybe if you used that, you would not have expected something unrealistic.

I go by what my local forecast says from the national weather service, and they busted, period. Sorry, im not snowlover making crap up.

Sun popping now and fog is almost burned off.

Just now, FrankPizz said:

I go by what my local forecast says from the national weather service, and they busted, period. Sorry, im not snowlover making crap up.

Sun popping now and fog is almost burned off.

I don't need to look at NWS forecasts. I usually do better myself.

Just now, Analog1888 said:

I don't need to look at NWS forecasts. I usually do better myself.

This is what I wrote about that rain event "POPs will be high, and precipitaiton will be widespread, but amounts will be light".

Sounds right to me.

Tors later per hi res rgem

just had a 10 min down pour...Sunny now...more to come...

First Loud thunder of the year West of me earlier from a storm that pulsed over Jones And Gilgo beach. Diminished as it headed ENE.

We have received measurable rain in 5 of the last 6 days across the county. Below normal temperatures are likely to continue today through Friday before we warm back to above normal by the weekend. The best chances of rain will be Wednesday into Thursday morning.

On 5/10/2026 at 9:56 AM, Sundog said:

What part is fiction?

That the 1930s when you recorded those high temp records in PA your state had only 30% tree coverage due to clear cutting and farming when it's now up to 60% and had been growing over the last several decades?

That's the part that's fiction?

Fictional excuses for the non stop past cooling and current present warming adjustments including TOB, site changes, equipment problems, trees - so little actual data to support the non stop chilling adjustments.