23 minutes ago, Andrew said:

Look at that +PDO, it’s gorgeous.

Yep that would give you a trough in the east

1 hour ago, uncle w said:

I'm not worried yet...the forecast is for a moderate el nino with the chance of it being strong...it all comes down to blocking especially in December...the years with a neg ao and nao had a cold December...1997 being an exception but is the ninth coldest December during el nino...

year.....ave temp...snowfall.....ao.....nao...........NYC weather...

1958.......29.4.........3.8".......-1.687.......-0.70.....very cold winter...no major storms...

1976.......29.9.........5.1".......-2.074.......-1.60.....very cold winter...no major storms...

1963.......31.2.......11.3".......-1.178.......-1.92.....cold snowy winter...one great storm...

1969.......33.4.........6.8".......-1.856.......-0.28.....very cold winter...no major storms...

1968.......34.3.........7.0".......-0.783.......-1.40.....cold...above average snow...one great storm...

1977.......35.7.........0.4".......-0.240.......-1.00.....cold snowy winter...two great storms...

2009.......35.9.......12.4".......-3.413.......-1.93.....cold snowy winter...three great storms...

2002.......36.0.......11.0".......-1.592.......-0.94.....cold snowy winter...one great storm...

1997.......38.3..........T...........-0.071.......-0.96.....mild wet winter...no major storms...

2004.......38.4........3.0"......+1.230.......+1.21.....snowy winter with cold periods...one great storm...

1972.......38.5..........T........+1.238.......+0.19.....mild wet winter...no major storms...

1986.......39.0........0.6"......+0.060.......+0.99.....cold winter with below average snowfall...no major storms...

1987.......39.5........2.6".......-0.534.......+0.32.....cold winter with below average snowfall...no major storms...

1991.......39.6........0.7"......+1.613.......+0.46.....mild with below average snowfall...no major storms...

2018.......40.1..........T.........+0.110.......+0.61.....mild with below average snowfall...no major storms...

1957.......40.2........8.7"......+0.828.......+0.12.....cold snowy winter...two major storms...

2014.......40.5........1.0"......+0.413.......+1.86.....cold snowy winter...one good storm...

1965.......40.5..........T........+0.163.......+1.37.....mild with one cold month...no major storms...

1979.......41.1........3.5"......+1.295.......+1.00.....mild with less snow than average...no major storms...

1994.......42.2..........T........+0.894.......+2.02.....mild with less snow than average...one good storm...

1982.......42.8........3.0"......+0.967.......+1.78.....mild with average snow...one great storm...

2006.......43.6..........0........+2.282.......+1.34.....mild with one cold month...no major storms...

2023.......44.6..........T........-0.221........+1.94.....mild with below average snow...no major storms...

2015.......50.8..........T........+1.444........+2.24.....mild with above average snowfall...one great storm...

reds are below average temps...neg ao and nao;'s...

Hard to get a cold snowy December with a strong Nino....I think 57 was the only one.

36 minutes ago, Keith P.A said:

Yep that would give you a trough in the east

Hard to get a cold snowy December with a strong Nino....I think 57 was the only one.

2009

3 hours ago, Keith P.A said:

Yep that would give you a trough in the east

Hard to get a cold snowy December with a strong Nino....I think 57 was the only one.

57 was mild...it did have a big snowstorm at the beginning of December after weeks of neg nao and ao...the second half of December was very mild...we saw blocking in 2016 and 1983 lead to a big snowstorm...2002-03 and 2009-10 were pretty strong but not super...

Dec 1997 and Dec 2015.

Shoukd have looked at the date on that. This threat is diminished. 

Still dry. Still waiting for rain. 

April heat...1976 and 2002 had four days 89 or higher almost on the same dates...

year.....dates.....max temps.....

1896...14th-16th...87 88 90...

1915...25th-27th...91 72 92...

1929...07th-09th...89 88 71...

1941...14th-16th...85 87 80...

1962...27th-29th...91 89 80...

1976...17th-20th...91 96 92 89...

1977...12th-14th...90 88 74...

1990...27th-29th...74 91 90...

2001...22nd-24th...86 80 87...

2002...16th-19th...92 96 91 89...

2009...25th-28th...88 92 84 90...

2023...12th-14th...84 90 91...

2026...14th-16th...87 90 89...

48 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

Shoukd have looked at the date on that. This threat is diminished. 

Still dry. Still waiting for rain. 

I swear you try to be wrong on purpose. It is the only logical explanation.

Haven't checked in here in a bit, and just looked at the LR. It looks like this crap pattern continues into next week? This is awful.

Today will likely be our mildest day for quite a while. We start a cooling trend tomorrow and it looks like our pattern over at least the next several weeks will feature generally below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. Of note since March 1st we are at about 80% of our normal precipitation. We could pick up a 1/2 to 3/4 of an inch of rain from Friday night through Saturday. Saturday will be a chilly and raw day with winds off the still chilly ocean keeping temperatures not far from the current ocean water temp of around 50 degrees. Temperatures next week look to remain a little cooler than normal with rain chances increasing again by Monday night into Tuesday.

18 minutes ago, goldalex said:

Haven't checked in here in a bit, and just looked at the LR. It looks like this crap pattern continues into next week? This is awful.

Yeah you better enjoy today and possibly tomorrow's weather.

This has been one of the worst springs I can remember. With the exception of today in a couple of other days, it’s either been cloudy and chilly with the constant east wind and last week with the heat and higher dewpoints. I wish we could get three or four consecutive days with temperatures in the 60s two around 70 and sunshine, and we can’t do it.

I don’t think people realize that a lot of central northern Canada is still deeply snow-covered. Quebec in Ontario have more snow now than they’ve had it this time of year in a long time so we are going to get a continuation of decent cool shots. Hopefully this builds well for the fire season and maybe we won’t be looking at so much smoke as we have over the past several years.

4 minutes ago, Andrew said:

This has been one of the worst springs I can remember. With the exception of today in a couple of other days, it’s either been cloudy and chilly with the constant east wind and last week with the heat and higher dewpoints. I wish we could get three or four consecutive days with temperatures in the 60s two around 70 and sunshine, and we can’t do it.

I don’t think people realize that a lot of central northern Canada is still deeply snow-covered. Quebec in Ontario have more snow now than they’ve had it this time of year in a long time so we are going to get a continuation of decent cool shots. Hopefully this builds well for the fire season and maybe we won’t be looking at so much smoke as we have over the past several years.

Were you in a coma all last week?

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Were you in a coma all last week?

Yeah, it hasn't been too bad at all imo. Several very warm days, several days like today...overall fairly dry where I am. I actually wouldn't mind a little rain, but it is annoying it is on a Saturday.

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Were you in a coma all last week?

Last week was too hot too quickly. I had to wear shortts I was sweating. I was miserable way too early for that. Give me a few days like today.

5 hours ago, Andrew said:

Last week was too hot too quickly. I had to wear shortts I was sweating. I was miserable way too early for that. Give me a few days like today.

Was nice to come back from Florida to that weather.

Today is a top 10 day

Imagine

Unseasonably chilly weekend on the way with temperatures at least 15 degrees below normal levels for late April. We start the cooling trend today with a backdoor cold front moving in from the northeast today highs should be at least 5 degrees cooler than yesterday. Beneficial rain arrives tomorrow morning and we should see rain a good bit of the time Saturday into Sunday morning with temperatures on Saturday remaining in the chilly 40's for high temperatures. We could see at least an inch of rain in many spots which is great news for our local farmers and green thumbs! We moderate next week but still a few degrees cooler than average with more showers possible by later Tuesday.